RBC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.5% | 4.6% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +2.2% | 3.2% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 65% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +2.5% | 8.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.43 | 3.88 | +13.2% | +3.9% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -10.3% |
| 2026-05-15 beat | 3.32 | 3.62 | +9.0% | -0.3% | -7.0% | -1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.86 | 3.04 | +6.2% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.73 | 2.88 | +5.3% | +0.9% | +5.4% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.74 | 2.84 | +3.6% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -0.4% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-16 beat | 2.70 | 2.83 | +4.7% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 2.20 | 2.34 | +6.3% | +7.8% | +8.3% | +3.8% | +0.5% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 2.30 | 2.29 | -0.3% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +12.1% | +19.5% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.42 | 2.54 | +4.8% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +0.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-17 beat | 2.35 | 2.47 | +5.3% | +3.8% | +8.1% | +0.8% | -4.2% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 1.96 | 1.85 | -5.8% | -8.4% | -5.4% | +6.7% | +3.3% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 2.04 | 2.17 | +6.4% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +8.4% | +19.3% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.97 | 2.13 | +8.3% | +1.0% | +3.0% | +3.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-05-19 beat | 1.86 | 2.13 | +14.4% | +1.2% | -5.3% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 1.66 | 1.64 | -1.3% | -4.3% | +1.9% | +0.3% | -5.8% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 1.66 | 1.93 | +16.4% | +3.7% | +1.7% | -2.7% | -9.9% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.54 | 1.19 | -22.6% | -3.9% | -6.7% | +10.7% | +2.0% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 1.17 | 1.26 | +8.0% | +5.6% | +6.5% | +17.6% | +8.7% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.8% | -3.0% | +2.0% | -0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2021-11-12 miss | 1.05 | 0.89 | -15.0% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -9.2% | -13.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.