RBC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.2% | 5.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.6% | +1.9% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.0% | 1.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.9% | +4.7% | 7.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.43 | 3.88 | +13.2% | +3.9% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -10.3% |
| 2026-05-15 beat | 3.32 | 3.62 | +9.0% | -0.3% | -7.0% | -1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.86 | 3.04 | +6.2% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.73 | 2.88 | +5.3% | +0.9% | +5.4% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.74 | 2.84 | +3.6% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -0.4% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-16 beat | 2.70 | 2.83 | +4.7% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 2.20 | 2.34 | +6.3% | +7.8% | +8.3% | +3.8% | +0.5% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 2.30 | 2.29 | -0.3% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +12.1% | +19.5% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.42 | 2.54 | +4.8% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +0.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-17 beat | 2.35 | 2.47 | +5.3% | +3.8% | +8.1% | +0.8% | -4.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.