RBC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 4.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +0.7% | 2.6% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 52% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +2.6% | 6.7% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.43 | 3.88 | +13.2% | +3.9% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -10.3% |
| 2026-05-15 beat | 3.32 | 3.62 | +9.0% | -0.3% | -7.0% | -1.6% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.86 | 3.04 | +6.2% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.73 | 2.88 | +5.3% | +0.9% | +5.4% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.74 | 2.84 | +3.6% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -0.4% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-16 beat | 2.70 | 2.83 | +4.7% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 2.20 | 2.34 | +6.3% | +7.8% | +8.3% | +3.8% | +0.5% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 2.30 | 2.29 | -0.3% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +12.1% | +19.5% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.42 | 2.54 | +4.8% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +0.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-17 beat | 2.35 | 2.47 | +5.3% | +3.8% | +8.1% | +0.8% | -4.2% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 1.96 | 1.85 | -5.8% | -8.4% | -5.4% | +6.7% | +3.3% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 2.04 | 2.17 | +6.4% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +8.4% | +19.3% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.97 | 2.13 | +8.3% | +1.0% | +3.0% | +3.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-05-19 beat | 1.86 | 2.13 | +14.4% | +1.2% | -5.3% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 1.66 | 1.64 | -1.3% | -4.3% | +1.9% | +0.3% | -5.8% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 1.66 | 1.93 | +16.4% | +3.7% | +1.7% | -2.7% | -9.9% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.54 | 1.19 | -22.6% | -3.9% | -6.7% | +10.7% | +2.0% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 1.17 | 1.26 | +8.0% | +5.6% | +6.5% | +17.6% | +8.7% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.8% | -3.0% | +2.0% | -0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2021-11-12 miss | 1.05 | 0.89 | -15.0% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -9.2% | -13.5% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +3.6% | +2.5% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2021-05-21 beat | 1.07 | 1.08 | +0.9% | +0.9% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +5.0% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +5.0% | -1.7% | -4.2% | +7.5% | +18.0% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.5% | -1.6% | +0.3% | +7.1% | +41.0% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +8.0% | +0.3% | +3.8% | +2.6% | -3.1% |
| 2020-05-20 beat | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.2% | +3.3% | +4.4% | +15.2% | +11.5% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 1.25 | 1.22 | -2.2% | +2.1% | +13.0% | +4.3% | -6.1% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 1.22 | 1.30 | +6.7% | +2.0% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -0.6% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 1.20 | 1.23 | +2.9% | -1.7% | -1.4% | +1.4% | -0.6% |
| 2019-05-23 beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.3% | +2.2% | +1.0% | +1.4% | +15.3% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 1.14 | 1.15 | +0.9% | -8.9% | -6.6% | +0.9% | +2.5% |
| 2018-11-02 beat | 1.08 | 1.22 | +13.0% | +0.5% | +11.7% | -4.9% | -14.1% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.9% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -2.1% | +4.8% |
| 2018-05-30 miss | 1.13 | 1.08 | -4.6% | -1.9% | +2.1% | +4.3% | +5.6% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.88 | 1.05 | +20.0% | +7.2% | +5.1% | -1.7% | +3.3% |
| 2017-11-03 miss | 0.86 | 0.83 | -3.2% | -7.6% | -3.1% | -0.5% | +3.4% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.82 | 0.91 | +11.0% | +4.1% | +3.5% | -1.2% | +1.3% |
| 2017-05-31 beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.1% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +3.1% | -1.3% |
| 2017-02-08 beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.8% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +3.1% | -1.4% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.1% | +9.5% | +2.8% | +11.9% | +20.5% |
| 2016-08-04 miss | 0.79 | 0.77 | -2.7% | +0.7% | +4.0% | -0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2016-05-26 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.8% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +0.4% | -7.6% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +0.9% | +2.6% | +4.7% | +0.9% | +14.6% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.3% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.6% | +5.8% | +5.8% | -2.4% | -15.1% |
| 2015-05-27 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.6% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2015-02-03 beat | 0.62 | 0.62 | +0.2% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.4% | +0.1% | +4.6% | +1.1% | +4.0% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -1.7% | -4.6% | +0.0% | +4.1% | +10.8% |
| 2014-05-28 beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +3.4% | +0.1% | -4.8% | +2.7% | +6.6% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 0.66 | 0.55 | -16.5% | -1.7% | -2.1% | +4.4% | +9.0% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -2.3% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.3% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +6.6% |
| 2013-05-29 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +13.4% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +3.3% | +8.6% |
| 2013-02-07 miss | 0.59 | 0.53 | -9.9% | -8.7% | -7.0% | -0.6% | +1.7% |
| 2012-11-02 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.3% | +0.1% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2012-08-03 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +2.5% | +2.7% | +0.9% | -0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2012-05-30 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +12.2% | +2.2% | +1.1% | -2.5% | -1.4% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +7.3% | +0.7% | -1.3% | -1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2011-11-09 beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.3% | -3.5% | -6.6% | +3.2% | +10.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.