RLI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 5.2% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.4% | 5.0% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 0.72 | 0.83 | +15.3% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +0.1% | +6.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.78 | 0.83 | +6.1% | -1.8% | -3.8% | -5.8% | -4.3% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +15.9% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +1.1% | +4.9% |
| 2025-10-20 beat | 0.70 | 0.83 | +19.0% | +4.1% | +2.8% | -3.3% | +3.6% |
| 2025-07-21 beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.3% | +1.3% | +0.4% | -4.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.92 | +8.4% | -1.9% | -3.7% | -2.7% | -0.5% |
| 2025-01-22 miss | 0.52 | 0.41 | -21.2% | -9.3% | -8.1% | +2.6% | +4.3% |
| 2024-10-21 beat | 0.48 | 0.66 | +35.7% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -1.9% | +10.7% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 0.67 | 0.86 | +28.5% | +3.4% | +3.0% | +4.6% | +4.2% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.81 | 0.95 | +17.2% | +1.7% | +3.2% | -3.0% | +1.3% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.6% | +0.0% | -4.3% | -2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 0.03 | 0.31 | +1023.8% | +2.7% | +5.9% | -2.6% | +0.5% |
| 2023-07-24 miss | 0.59 | 0.58 | -1.4% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 0.62 | 0.82 | +31.4% | +3.2% | +9.3% | -4.1% | -12.5% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.59 | 0.77 | +30.2% | +1.8% | -1.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -0.6% | -2.7% | -0.3% | +12.6% | +16.1% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.53 | 0.75 | +39.9% | -1.1% | +1.6% | -5.4% | +2.8% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.49 | 0.72 | +46.5% | +1.2% | +4.7% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.46 | 0.63 | +38.5% | +4.1% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +15.0% | +0.7% | +0.8% | -0.6% | +3.3% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.55 | +42.5% | +0.0% | -2.5% | +5.2% | +6.1% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +29.9% | +0.7% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -5.6% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +12.5% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +7.3% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.04 | 0.21 | +486.1% | +1.2% | +5.9% | -4.7% | +9.9% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.24 | 0.39 | +63.8% | +5.7% | +14.3% | -6.4% | -2.6% |
| 2020-04-21 | 0.33 | 0.33 | — | -1.0% | -11.9% | +8.1% | +8.1% |
| 2020-01-22 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +5.3% | -2.7% | -1.7% | +2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +11.3% | +0.5% | +4.7% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.2% | +0.3% | +3.2% | -1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +18.7% | -0.5% | +6.8% | +2.0% | +8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.