RMD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -2.1% | 8.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 2.6% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 1.7% | 35% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.7% | 8.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.89 | 2.95 | +2.0% | -7.2% | -5.1% | +5.9% | +4.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.80 | 2.86 | +2.1% | -3.7% | -4.1% | +0.8% | -10.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.72 | 2.81 | +3.1% | -2.6% | +0.3% | +5.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.50 | 2.55 | +2.0% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.48 | 2.55 | +2.8% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.36 | 2.37 | +0.4% | +8.7% | +10.1% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.31 | 2.43 | +5.0% | +0.1% | -8.3% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.04 | 2.20 | +7.7% | +8.8% | +7.1% | -4.6% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.07 | 2.08 | +0.5% | -2.1% | +4.2% | -3.2% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.91 | 2.13 | +11.7% | +10.7% | +18.9% | -0.5% | -5.0% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 1.78 | 1.88 | +5.5% | +10.4% | +8.5% | +3.9% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.61 | 1.64 | +1.7% | +4.4% | -2.9% | +13.5% | +15.6% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 1.69 | 1.60 | -5.4% | -9.8% | -18.5% | +0.1% | -14.1% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.59 | 1.68 | +5.5% | +1.3% | +7.0% | -3.9% | -12.9% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.6% | +1.4% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.60 | 1.51 | -5.7% | -7.4% | -5.8% | -3.6% | +2.0% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +2.4% | -1.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.44 | 1.32 | -8.1% | -6.8% | -6.3% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 1.52 | 1.47 | -3.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% | +10.6% | +16.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.35 | 1.51 | +11.7% | +1.0% | -2.1% | -0.9% | -3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.