RMD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +1.5% | 8.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.8% | 1.4% | 20% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +1.6% | 7.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.89 | 2.95 | +2.0% | -7.2% | -5.1% | +5.9% | +4.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.80 | 2.86 | +2.1% | -3.7% | -4.1% | +0.8% | -10.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.72 | 2.81 | +3.1% | -2.6% | +0.3% | +5.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.50 | 2.55 | +2.0% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.48 | 2.55 | +2.8% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.36 | 2.37 | +0.4% | +8.7% | +10.1% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.31 | 2.43 | +5.0% | +0.1% | -8.3% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.04 | 2.20 | +7.7% | +8.8% | +7.1% | -4.6% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.07 | 2.08 | +0.5% | -2.1% | +4.2% | -3.2% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.91 | 2.13 | +11.7% | +10.7% | +18.9% | -0.5% | -5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.