RMD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 8.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.6% | 63% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +1.6% | 8.4% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.89 | 2.95 | +2.0% | -7.2% | -5.1% | +5.9% | +4.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.80 | 2.86 | +2.1% | -3.7% | -4.1% | +0.8% | -10.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.72 | 2.81 | +3.1% | -2.6% | +0.3% | +5.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.50 | 2.55 | +2.0% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.48 | 2.55 | +2.8% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.36 | 2.37 | +0.4% | +8.7% | +10.1% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.31 | 2.43 | +5.0% | +0.1% | -8.3% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.04 | 2.20 | +7.7% | +8.8% | +7.1% | -4.6% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.07 | 2.08 | +0.5% | -2.1% | +4.2% | -3.2% | +9.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.91 | 2.13 | +11.7% | +10.7% | +18.9% | -0.5% | -5.0% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 1.78 | 1.88 | +5.5% | +10.4% | +8.5% | +3.9% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.61 | 1.64 | +1.7% | +4.4% | -2.9% | +13.5% | +15.6% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 1.69 | 1.60 | -5.4% | -9.8% | -18.5% | +0.1% | -14.1% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.59 | 1.68 | +5.5% | +1.3% | +7.0% | -3.9% | -12.9% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.6% | +1.4% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.60 | 1.51 | -5.7% | -7.4% | -5.8% | -3.6% | +2.0% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +2.4% | -1.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.44 | 1.32 | -8.1% | -6.8% | -6.3% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 1.52 | 1.47 | -3.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% | +10.6% | +16.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.35 | 1.51 | +11.7% | +1.0% | -2.1% | -0.9% | -3.1% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.29 | 1.35 | +4.6% | +1.7% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +7.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.4% | -4.8% | -9.6% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.28 | 1.41 | +10.5% | -1.5% | -6.7% | +0.3% | -4.1% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.03 | 1.27 | +23.7% | +9.1% | +6.9% | +11.6% | +10.2% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 1.07 | 1.33 | +24.3% | -6.4% | -13.5% | +1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.29 | +19.4% | +1.1% | +2.4% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.02 | 1.21 | +18.5% | -0.6% | -3.9% | +7.9% | +3.9% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.6% | +13.5% | +12.9% | +2.2% | +1.4% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.92 | 0.95 | +3.4% | +5.0% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +6.5% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.1% | +6.0% | +6.6% | -0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2019-01-24 beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.2% | -14.4% | -19.4% | -1.0% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.6% | +2.5% | +5.7% | +1.5% | +1.4% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +1.9% | -2.2% | -3.6% | +2.9% | +6.8% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +7.6% | +0.4% | -2.9% | +3.5% | +7.1% |
| 2018-01-22 beat | 0.78 | 1.00 | +29.0% | +12.8% | +14.7% | +0.3% | -6.5% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.1% | +4.2% | +7.4% | -1.5% | +0.9% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -6.4% | +2.2% | +7.0% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.5% | -7.8% | -6.7% | +2.1% | +3.0% |
| 2017-01-23 beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.7% | +8.6% | +9.6% | -3.1% | +2.7% |
| 2016-10-25 miss | 0.65 | 0.62 | -4.9% | -2.6% | -5.6% | -5.0% | -2.5% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | 0.75 | 0.74 | -1.0% | +4.3% | +4.8% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2016-04-26 | 0.68 | 0.68 | — | -5.0% | -7.1% | -1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2016-01-21 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.5% | +6.6% | +6.5% | -1.5% | +0.7% |
| 2015-10-22 miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -2.5% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +3.9% | +0.7% | +3.3% | -5.3% | -10.4% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -1.9% | -9.1% | -10.5% | -1.4% | -12.6% |
| 2015-01-22 beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +6.4% | +3.4% | +5.5% | -4.2% | +0.2% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.9% | +9.9% | +9.1% | +0.4% | +1.6% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -1.8% | -10.1% | -4.0% | +1.4% | +6.5% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -0.8% | +3.8% | +1.4% | +5.2% | +5.5% |
| 2014-01-23 miss | 0.64 | 0.61 | -4.5% | -7.7% | -6.4% | -0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -2.4% | -9.5% | -12.0% | +2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2013-08-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.4% | +4.0% | -1.0% | +4.9% | -0.8% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +2.7% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +3.8% | +7.8% |
| 2013-01-24 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +6.5% | +3.1% | +6.2% | -7.9% | -10.7% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.7% | -0.5% | -3.4% | +4.1% | +3.4% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +9.9% | +8.7% | +12.0% | +0.7% | +9.9% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +10.6% | +6.6% | +6.4% | -0.9% | -8.0% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +14.3% | +6.7% | +10.5% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2011-10-24 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -2.8% | -16.2% | -13.7% | +1.8% | -7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.