ROG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +2.2% | 3.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.9% | +2.4% | 3.1% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.3% | +6.7% | 7.4% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.99 | 0.92 | -6.8% | +0.7% | -2.0% | +13.2% | +10.7% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +9.8% | +1.5% | -1.6% | +10.4% | +11.1% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.60 | 0.89 | +48.3% | +3.0% | +3.9% | +2.4% | -4.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.69 | 0.90 | +29.8% | +8.5% | +5.6% | -4.3% | -4.3% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.50 | 0.34 | -32.0% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +15.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.6% | +3.9% | +4.0% | +2.9% | +7.7% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +5.8% | -2.0% | -0.3% | -9.7% | -19.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.85 | 0.98 | +15.3% | -3.4% | +1.8% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +15.0% | +3.8% | +0.4% | -9.8% | -11.7% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.5% | +10.2% | +10.5% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.