ROG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +0.2% | 8.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 2.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +0.8% | 9.2% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.99 | 0.92 | -6.8% | +0.7% | -2.0% | +13.2% | +10.7% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +9.8% | +1.5% | -1.6% | +10.4% | +11.1% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.60 | 0.89 | +48.3% | +3.0% | +3.9% | +2.4% | -4.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.69 | 0.90 | +29.8% | +8.5% | +5.6% | -4.3% | -4.3% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.50 | 0.34 | -32.0% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +15.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.6% | +3.9% | +4.0% | +2.9% | +7.7% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +5.8% | -2.0% | -0.3% | -9.7% | -19.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.85 | 0.98 | +15.3% | -3.4% | +1.8% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +15.0% | +3.8% | +0.4% | -9.8% | -11.7% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.5% | +10.2% | +10.5% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.00 | 0.60 | -40.0% | -5.3% | -1.5% | -2.1% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +9.2% | +3.6% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.02 | 1.07 | +4.4% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -1.9% | -9.0% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.87 | +20.0% | +7.4% | +3.4% | +2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 0.86 | 1.04 | +20.9% | +4.0% | +5.1% | +5.2% | +5.3% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | 1.27 | 0.78 | -38.6% | -2.4% | -2.0% | +2.6% | +17.5% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 1.43 | 1.22 | -14.7% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -3.3% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.14 | 1.53 | +34.2% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.75 | 1.92 | +9.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 1.78 | 1.64 | -7.9% | +30.6% | +29.6% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 1.89 | 1.72 | -8.8% | -11.8% | -6.6% | +1.2% | +12.2% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.79 | 1.92 | +7.1% | -1.2% | +3.4% | -2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 1.42 | 1.58 | +11.5% | +3.2% | +9.1% | -2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.00 | 1.45 | +45.5% | +3.6% | +17.7% | +5.6% | +22.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.90 | 1.13 | +25.6% | -4.9% | -10.5% | +2.0% | -4.9% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.92 | +10.8% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 1.06 | 1.14 | +7.9% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +5.3% | -29.9% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.36 | 1.51 | +10.8% | -8.4% | -9.6% | +4.7% | -7.0% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.55 | 1.64 | +5.8% | -6.0% | -3.4% | -8.0% | -13.6% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.85 | +37.0% | +6.9% | +13.9% | -3.6% | -27.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.