ROP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -1.4% | 5.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | -1.8% | 9.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 5.29 | 5.38 | +1.8% | +8.6% | +5.5% | +9.6% | +16.0% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 4.99 | 5.16 | +3.5% | +4.0% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -10.1% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 5.14 | 5.21 | +1.4% | -9.8% | -9.6% | -5.5% | -4.6% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 5.11 | 5.14 | +0.6% | -8.2% | -5.7% | -7.6% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-21 beat | 4.83 | 4.87 | +0.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 4.74 | 4.78 | +0.8% | -3.5% | -1.0% | +3.5% | +3.1% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 4.73 | 4.81 | +1.7% | +4.2% | +5.1% | +2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 4.53 | 4.62 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -1.7% | +0.8% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.3% | -4.9% | -7.4% | +2.4% | +2.6% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 4.34 | 4.41 | +1.6% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -1.8% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.