ROP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 3.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +1.4% | 5.3% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 5.29 | 5.38 | +1.8% | +8.6% | +5.5% | +9.6% | +16.0% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 4.99 | 5.16 | +3.5% | +4.0% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -10.1% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 5.14 | 5.21 | +1.4% | -9.8% | -9.6% | -5.5% | -4.6% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 5.11 | 5.14 | +0.6% | -8.2% | -5.7% | -7.6% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-21 beat | 4.83 | 4.87 | +0.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 4.74 | 4.78 | +0.8% | -3.5% | -1.0% | +3.5% | +3.1% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 4.73 | 4.81 | +1.7% | +4.2% | +5.1% | +2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 4.53 | 4.62 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -1.7% | +0.8% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.3% | -4.9% | -7.4% | +2.4% | +2.6% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 4.34 | 4.41 | +1.6% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -1.8% | +1.2% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 4.33 | 4.37 | +0.9% | -6.1% | -4.4% | +2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 4.22 | 4.32 | +2.3% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +9.2% |
| 2023-07-21 beat | 3.99 | 4.12 | +3.1% | +3.8% | +3.7% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 3.85 | 3.90 | +1.2% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2023-01-27 beat | 3.77 | 3.92 | +3.9% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.4% | +1.9% | +2.8% | +3.7% | +12.3% |
| 2022-07-22 beat | 3.35 | 3.95 | +17.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +6.3% | +2.7% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 3.68 | 3.77 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +3.7% | -4.4% | -9.8% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 3.70 | 3.73 | +0.9% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +0.4% | +0.5% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 3.85 | 3.91 | +1.7% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +0.1% | +1.2% |
| 2021-07-23 beat | 3.66 | 3.76 | +2.6% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 3.32 | 3.60 | +8.6% | -0.1% | +3.1% | +0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 3.49 | 3.56 | +2.0% | -0.7% | -7.1% | +3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 3.04 | 3.17 | +4.5% | -3.1% | -5.6% | -2.9% | +6.0% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 2.68 | 2.94 | +9.7% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 2.88 | 3.05 | +5.9% | +9.7% | +7.1% | +2.7% | +13.3% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 3.34 | 3.39 | +1.4% | +1.3% | +2.9% | -1.1% | -7.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 3.21 | 3.29 | +2.5% | +1.1% | -0.8% | +1.4% | +7.0% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 3.05 | 3.07 | +0.8% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -6.0% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 2.78 | 3.30 | +18.5% | +1.4% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +0.3% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 3.13 | 3.22 | +2.9% | +2.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +9.5% |
| 2018-10-26 beat | 2.94 | 3.09 | +5.1% | +3.7% | +7.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 2.71 | 2.89 | +6.8% | +2.0% | +5.2% | -2.3% | -2.3% |
| 2018-04-20 beat | 2.49 | 2.61 | +4.6% | -0.7% | +0.8% | -4.9% | -0.3% |
| 2018-02-02 beat | 2.61 | 2.70 | +3.5% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -8.3% | -4.0% |
| 2017-10-30 beat | 2.29 | 2.36 | +2.9% | -2.0% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2017-07-31 beat | 2.22 | 2.24 | +1.0% | -2.4% | +0.1% | +1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2017-04-28 beat | 1.99 | 2.11 | +6.0% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 1.84 | 1.86 | +1.4% | +1.1% | +4.8% | +2.3% | +4.4% |
| 2016-10-31 beat | 1.61 | 1.65 | +2.2% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2016-07-25 miss | 1.61 | 1.56 | -3.2% | -4.8% | -5.8% | +5.0% | +8.4% |
| 2016-04-25 beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +2.8% | -1.6% | +0.6% | -1.2% | -3.2% |
| 2016-02-01 miss | 1.87 | 1.82 | -2.4% | -10.4% | -6.8% | -1.1% | +4.7% |
| 2015-10-26 beat | 1.57 | 1.61 | +2.6% | +0.4% | +3.4% | +3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2015-07-27 beat | 1.64 | 1.70 | +3.4% | -5.9% | -4.6% | +0.7% | -6.1% |
| 2015-04-27 beat | 1.52 | 1.55 | +1.9% | +2.7% | +1.5% | -1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2015-01-26 beat | 1.79 | 1.85 | +3.2% | +5.4% | +4.0% | +1.0% | +7.9% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.1% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +5.1% | +6.3% |
| 2014-07-28 beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +3.8% | +0.1% | +3.9% | -2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2014-04-28 beat | 1.35 | 1.46 | +8.5% | +6.8% | +6.5% | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2014-01-27 beat | 1.60 | 1.65 | +3.0% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -0.3% |
| 2013-10-28 miss | 1.45 | 1.42 | -2.3% | -5.0% | -6.6% | +1.6% | +4.4% |
| 2013-07-29 beat | 1.30 | 1.31 | +1.1% | -2.5% | -3.3% | -0.1% | -2.9% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 1.22 | 1.27 | +3.8% | -0.3% | -3.8% | +1.3% | +4.7% |
| 2013-01-28 beat | 1.46 | 1.48 | +1.6% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -0.9% | +5.0% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 1.23 | 1.24 | +0.8% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2012-07-30 miss | 1.15 | 1.15 | -0.0% | +4.3% | +1.1% | +3.6% | +3.6% |
| 2012-04-23 beat | 1.04 | 1.09 | +4.6% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +3.1% | +0.5% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.5% | -1.7% | -3.2% | +1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2011-10-24 beat | 1.07 | 1.12 | +4.3% | -10.2% | +1.5% | +2.9% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.