RPD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -6.7% | -6.8% | 13.4% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | +0.5% | 3.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.7% | +0.6% | 4.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -7.7% | -10.1% | 13.8% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +26.3% | +10.5% | +15.2% | -5.9% | -21.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +18.8% | +1.1% | -1.6% | -5.9% | +14.3% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.9% | -23.7% | -29.0% | -3.9% | -7.6% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.57 | +24.9% | -11.7% | -19.9% | -1.8% | +12.1% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.44 | 0.58 | +30.9% | -1.2% | -9.8% | +19.0% | +14.1% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 0.34 | 0.49 | +42.3% | -5.9% | -8.2% | -4.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -3.4% | -4.1% | -5.4% | -8.9% | -16.4% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.52 | 0.66 | +27.6% | -1.6% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +12.4% | +7.7% | +9.9% | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.2% | -11.6% | -17.0% | +3.6% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.