RPD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.2% | -0.9% | 10.2% | 33% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 3.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 4.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.3% | -3.9% | 12.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +26.3% | +10.5% | +15.2% | -5.9% | -21.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +18.8% | +1.1% | -1.6% | -5.9% | +14.3% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.9% | -23.7% | -29.0% | -3.9% | -7.6% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.57 | +24.9% | -11.7% | -19.9% | -1.8% | +12.1% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.44 | 0.58 | +30.9% | -1.2% | -9.8% | +19.0% | +14.1% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 0.34 | 0.49 | +42.3% | -5.9% | -8.2% | -4.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -3.4% | -4.1% | -5.4% | -8.9% | -16.4% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.52 | 0.66 | +27.6% | -1.6% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +12.4% | +7.7% | +9.9% | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.2% | -11.6% | -17.0% | +3.6% | -0.9% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.48 | 0.72 | +51.6% | -5.7% | +3.1% | +2.7% | -7.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +18.8% | +11.4% | +2.8% | +6.5% | +19.1% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.11 | 0.18 | +66.3% | +15.6% | +15.6% | +2.4% | +6.1% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +85.4% | +0.3% | +4.5% | +0.2% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.18 | 0.35 | +94.4% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -4.2% | -22.0% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.14 | +182.5% | -18.5% | -22.7% | -2.4% | +0.9% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +75.9% | -1.5% | -6.0% | -0.4% | -20.5% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | -0.16 | -0.16 | -0.8% | -11.5% | -17.4% | -14.5% | -10.3% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +7.1% | -2.3% | -0.6% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.07 | 0.06 | +190.3% | +10.2% | +5.8% | -2.3% | -15.3% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +157.9% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -0.7% | +9.8% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +52.3% | +0.5% | +2.3% | +7.7% | +15.1% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +9.0% | +1.6% | -0.8% | -7.9% | -11.5% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | +1.6% | +3.4% | -0.5% | +9.6% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +588.8% | +3.0% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | -0.09 | -0.09 | +2.7% | +1.8% | -4.0% | -4.2% | +5.4% |
| 2020-02-10 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +411.5% | -6.5% | -9.3% | -2.5% | -31.6% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -0.03 | 0.01 | +136.2% | +2.8% | -3.7% | +4.6% | +10.8% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | -0.07 | 0.02 | +128.9% | +4.4% | +0.7% | -5.3% | -12.1% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.08 | 0.02 | +124.0% | +2.6% | -0.8% | +0.9% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.