RPM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.7% | +3.8% | 6.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +0.4% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +3.6% | +5.6% | 5.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.83 | 1.89 | +3.3% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +0.9% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-08 beat | 0.35 | 0.57 | +61.8% | +14.4% | +12.4% | -2.8% | -6.7% |
| 2026-01-08 miss | 1.41 | 1.20 | -15.0% | -4.4% | +1.7% | +5.4% | +10.5% |
| 2025-10-01 miss | 1.88 | 1.88 | -0.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -3.5% | -7.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.60 | 1.72 | +7.8% | +7.9% | +8.6% | -4.3% | +4.0% |
| 2025-04-08 miss | 0.50 | 0.35 | -29.4% | +0.3% | -9.1% | +8.2% | +14.4% |
| 2025-01-07 beat | 1.34 | 1.39 | +3.7% | -2.0% | +1.1% | +3.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-02 beat | 1.74 | 1.84 | +5.9% | +4.1% | +6.3% | +3.2% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.56 | 1.56 | +0.1% | +3.0% | +6.8% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.2% | -2.5% | -5.8% | -1.7% | -2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.