RPM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.6% | 5.5% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.2% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.4% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +2.5% | 5.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.83 | 1.89 | +3.3% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +0.9% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-08 beat | 0.35 | 0.57 | +61.8% | +14.4% | +12.4% | -2.8% | -6.7% |
| 2026-01-08 miss | 1.41 | 1.20 | -15.0% | -4.4% | +1.7% | +5.4% | +10.5% |
| 2025-10-01 miss | 1.88 | 1.88 | -0.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -3.5% | -7.2% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.60 | 1.72 | +7.8% | +7.9% | +8.6% | -4.3% | +4.0% |
| 2025-04-08 miss | 0.50 | 0.35 | -29.4% | +0.3% | -9.1% | +8.2% | +14.4% |
| 2025-01-07 beat | 1.34 | 1.39 | +3.7% | -2.0% | +1.1% | +3.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-02 beat | 1.74 | 1.84 | +5.9% | +4.1% | +6.3% | +3.2% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.56 | 1.56 | +0.1% | +3.0% | +6.8% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.2% | -2.5% | -5.8% | -1.7% | -2.2% |
| 2024-01-04 miss | 1.23 | 1.22 | -0.5% | -3.9% | -3.0% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2023-10-04 beat | 1.54 | 1.64 | +6.2% | +8.0% | +6.3% | +1.0% | -4.6% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.29 | 1.36 | +5.1% | +4.8% | +11.2% | -0.4% | -4.5% |
| 2023-04-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +21.2% | -5.1% | -3.7% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2023-01-05 beat | 1.10 | 1.10 | +0.0% | -5.0% | -13.1% | +2.6% | +6.6% |
| 2022-10-05 beat | 1.33 | 1.47 | +10.5% | +2.6% | +3.3% | -1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2022-07-25 miss | 1.44 | 1.42 | -1.7% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +5.6% | +8.0% |
| 2022-04-06 beat | 0.30 | 0.38 | +28.1% | +2.0% | +4.9% | -0.6% | -3.2% |
| 2022-01-05 miss | 0.83 | 0.79 | -4.8% | -0.4% | +0.3% | -5.6% | -11.3% |
| 2021-10-06 beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +6.1% | -0.1% | +2.6% | -1.8% | +9.5% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.9% | -1.9% | -4.6% |
| 2021-04-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +30.7% | -1.1% | -4.4% | +0.4% | +8.3% |
| 2021-01-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.06 | +7.0% | -0.1% | -2.0% | +0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2020-10-07 beat | 1.18 | 1.44 | +22.3% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +1.7% | +4.8% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 0.99 | 1.13 | +14.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2020-04-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.2% | +2.5% | +3.7% | -0.2% | +6.3% |
| 2020-01-08 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.1% | +1.4% | -1.7% | -0.6% | +2.1% |
| 2019-10-02 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.4% | -3.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +7.7% |
| 2019-07-22 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +9.0% | +4.4% | +4.5% | +4.4% | +2.9% |
| 2019-04-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +23.9% | +2.6% | +2.0% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.