RUN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.4% | 19.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +1.4% | 8.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | -1.6% | 7.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +3.9% | +0.2% | 30.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.42 | +68.8% | -13.8% | -10.6% | +5.1% | -5.2% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.05 | 0.62 | +1230.8% | +12.5% | +7.6% | +6.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.06 | 0.38 | +699.6% | -9.0% | -35.1% | -14.4% | -8.4% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -48.7% | -17.1% | -16.1% | +8.9% | +4.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.11 | 1.07 | +1030.4% | +23.5% | +32.3% | -12.7% | +41.0% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | -0.27 | 0.20 | +173.5% | +14.2% | +15.0% | +51.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -0.18 | 1.41 | +864.7% | +0.1% | -8.3% | -1.2% | -19.2% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.22 | -0.37 | -68.2% | -0.7% | -11.8% | -3.3% | +3.0% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | -0.40 | 0.55 | +236.2% | +12.1% | +11.0% | +1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.57 | -0.40 | +30.1% | +4.2% | +7.8% | -1.3% | +14.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.