RUN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -2.5% | 13.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.1% | 6.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.2% | -2.9% | 5.7% | 33% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -3.9% | 21.5% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.42 | +68.8% | -13.8% | -10.6% | +5.1% | -5.2% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.05 | 0.62 | +1230.8% | +12.5% | +7.6% | +6.2% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | -0.06 | 0.38 | +699.6% | -9.0% | -35.1% | -14.4% | -8.4% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -48.7% | -17.1% | -16.1% | +8.9% | +4.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.11 | 1.07 | +1030.4% | +23.5% | +32.3% | -12.7% | +41.0% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | -0.27 | 0.20 | +173.5% | +14.2% | +15.0% | +51.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -0.18 | 1.41 | +864.7% | +0.1% | -8.3% | -1.2% | -19.2% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.22 | -0.37 | -68.2% | -0.7% | -11.8% | -3.3% | +3.0% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | -0.40 | 0.55 | +236.2% | +12.1% | +11.0% | +1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.57 | -0.40 | +30.1% | +4.2% | +7.8% | -1.3% | +14.0% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | -0.32 | -1.33 | -318.6% | -4.6% | -18.0% | -5.8% | -11.2% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.16 | 0.40 | +347.3% | -3.1% | +10.1% | -3.9% | +38.0% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | -0.39 | 0.25 | +164.5% | +12.4% | +7.6% | -11.6% | -17.7% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | -0.19 | -1.12 | -483.7% | -6.5% | -15.7% | -1.0% | +9.3% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | -0.04 | 0.29 | +799.1% | +7.1% | -2.2% | +0.5% | -23.9% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | -0.07 | 0.96 | +1520.3% | +5.8% | +18.7% | +19.8% | +20.8% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +19.3% | +5.6% | +3.5% | +11.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | -0.12 | -0.42 | -249.7% | +8.0% | +2.7% | -28.2% | +13.5% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +27.1% | +0.1% | -6.8% | +26.5% | +47.9% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +361.0% | +0.1% | -2.7% | +4.4% | -22.0% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | -0.08 | -0.20 | -146.8% | -5.1% | -9.5% | -3.5% | -5.9% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | -0.04 | -0.12 | -228.3% | +7.1% | +11.7% | -15.6% | -6.9% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.17 | -0.76 | -540.5% | +3.9% | +7.9% | -16.2% | -17.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.02 | 0.28 | +1317.0% | +4.1% | -0.5% | -4.0% | +6.2% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | 0.03 | -0.11 | -423.9% | +1.0% | -10.4% | +9.3% | +32.6% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | — | -0.23 | -43496.2% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +42.2% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.20 | 0.10 | -49.6% | -14.9% | -4.6% | +4.6% | -49.3% |
| 2019-11-12 beat | 0.04 | 0.23 | +428.5% | +2.7% | -4.9% | -1.7% | +1.2% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -114.8% | -7.9% | -6.2% | -21.6% | -20.2% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | 0.18 | -0.12 | -168.6% | -8.9% | -6.4% | +3.5% | +6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.