SAM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 9.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.8% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.0% | 10.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 4.83 | 3.65 | -24.4% | -1.5% | +3.2% | +1.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 1.97 | 1.64 | -16.8% | -10.3% | -9.6% | -7.9% | -24.2% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | -2.51 | -2.12 | +15.6% | -8.7% | -4.3% | +6.6% | +7.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.34 | 4.25 | +27.4% | +6.0% | +5.5% | -10.6% | -16.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 3.96 | 5.45 | +37.6% | +10.4% | +6.5% | -2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.69 | 2.16 | +212.8% | +4.4% | +2.3% | -3.4% | -4.9% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | -1.33 | -1.68 | -26.0% | +0.3% | +3.0% | -1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 4.95 | 5.36 | +8.4% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 5.02 | 4.61 | -8.2% | -3.1% | +7.5% | -4.0% | -3.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | -0.08 | 1.06 | +1376.2% | +9.7% | -1.4% | -2.1% | -8.4% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | -0.28 | -1.49 | -435.7% | -11.8% | -15.8% | -5.2% | -2.3% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 4.24 | 4.76 | +12.3% | -4.5% | -12.4% | +5.8% | +7.7% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 3.40 | 4.82 | +41.6% | +11.4% | +16.8% | -3.5% | -2.3% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | -0.34 | -0.70 | -108.7% | -1.8% | +0.4% | -2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 0.59 | -0.92 | -256.8% | -13.4% | -14.7% | -0.9% | -6.3% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 3.17 | 3.85 | +21.5% | +5.2% | +19.7% | -4.6% | -7.0% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 4.32 | 4.36 | +1.1% | -5.9% | +6.2% | +6.6% | +0.8% |
| 2022-04-21 miss | 1.71 | 0.17 | -89.8% | -4.5% | +1.4% | +6.9% | -5.5% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | -4.41 | -4.32 | +2.1% | -2.9% | -2.7% | -4.2% | +0.2% |
| 2021-10-21 miss | 4.20 | -1.67 | -139.8% | -4.1% | +1.6% | -6.3% | -12.7% |
| 2021-07-22 miss | 6.68 | 4.81 | -28.0% | -23.5% | -26.0% | +1.3% | -13.7% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 2.89 | 5.28 | +82.8% | +7.4% | +3.0% | -5.3% | -18.0% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 2.84 | 3.55 | +25.1% | -9.5% | -8.0% | -7.3% | -1.0% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 4.79 | 6.80 | +41.8% | +9.9% | +18.8% | -4.8% | -14.7% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 2.45 | 5.28 | +115.8% | +7.9% | +25.7% | -2.2% | +7.7% |
| 2020-04-22 miss | 1.92 | 1.74 | -9.8% | -6.2% | +2.0% | +7.3% | +19.6% |
| 2020-02-19 miss | 1.59 | 1.24 | -21.9% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -2.5% | -22.7% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.89 | 3.42 | +18.2% | +1.8% | -0.5% | -3.9% | +3.5% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.91 | 2.34 | +22.4% | +1.4% | +3.1% | -3.7% | +9.2% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.88 | 1.87 | +112.2% | +8.5% | +8.5% | +6.0% | +11.8% |
| 2019-02-20 beat | 1.74 | 1.84 | +5.7% | +4.6% | +14.3% | +1.9% | -6.8% |
| 2018-10-25 miss | 3.33 | 2.82 | -15.4% | +4.4% | +3.1% | +4.3% | +2.9% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 2.84 | 1.88 | -33.8% | -15.3% | -11.0% | -0.7% | +10.4% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 0.32 | 0.55 | +71.1% | +4.4% | -0.2% | +5.0% | +10.9% |
| 2018-02-21 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.1% | -4.9% | -13.6% | -1.6% | +11.9% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 1.97 | 2.74 | +39.0% | -1.0% | -5.0% | +3.7% | +8.0% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 1.49 | 2.33 | +56.6% | +10.6% | +13.6% | -3.6% | -3.4% |
| 2017-04-26 miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -33.3% | -2.0% | -0.7% | +1.4% | +2.9% |
| 2017-02-22 beat | 1.22 | 1.74 | +42.5% | -3.4% | -5.4% | +2.2% | -5.6% |
| 2016-10-20 miss | 2.57 | 2.48 | -3.5% | -4.6% | +4.3% | -3.3% | +3.9% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 1.95 | 2.06 | +5.7% | +4.4% | +15.4% | -3.8% | -0.5% |
| 2016-04-21 miss | 0.96 | 0.53 | -44.6% | -12.4% | -8.0% | -2.1% | -3.8% |
| 2016-02-18 beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +7.0% | -6.0% | -1.8% | +4.4% | +4.0% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 2.69 | 2.87 | +6.9% | -6.6% | -10.3% | -4.4% | -2.2% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 1.95 | 2.18 | +11.8% | -3.3% | -1.3% | +6.6% | -7.0% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.68 | 1.00 | +46.7% | -1.1% | -4.6% | +0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2015-02-24 beat | 1.37 | 1.42 | +3.2% | -13.6% | -10.3% | -6.1% | -4.6% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 2.32 | 2.88 | +24.4% | +2.6% | +7.6% | +4.0% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 1.79 | 1.88 | +5.2% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +4.4% | +0.3% |
| 2014-04-30 miss | 0.68 | 0.62 | -8.8% | -4.3% | -4.4% | -1.6% | -7.1% |
| 2014-02-25 miss | 1.51 | 1.35 | -10.6% | -3.4% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +3.0% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 1.84 | 1.96 | +6.9% | -3.1% | -7.3% | +2.6% | +3.2% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 1.34 | 1.45 | +8.0% | +7.7% | +14.1% | +3.9% | +3.8% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.62 | 0.51 | -17.1% | -4.9% | -11.6% | -1.0% | +5.0% |
| 2013-02-20 miss | 1.28 | 1.26 | -1.5% | -1.9% | -2.0% | +3.7% | +6.4% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 1.35 | 1.53 | +13.1% | +2.8% | +7.9% | -3.2% | -3.1% |
| 2012-08-01 miss | 1.24 | 1.06 | -14.4% | -5.6% | +2.6% | +1.5% | -5.8% |
| 2012-05-02 beat | 0.41 | 0.56 | +37.9% | -0.4% | +1.5% | -3.7% | -6.0% |
| 2012-02-22 beat | 1.11 | 1.17 | +5.8% | -0.6% | -4.4% | -4.2% | +3.2% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 1.09 | 1.19 | +9.3% | +8.8% | +14.6% | -1.3% | +3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.