SBUX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 6.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 1.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | -1.1% | 7.3% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.85 | +30.8% | +3.0% | +1.6% | -0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +14.5% | +4.9% | +8.4% | +0.9% | -6.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -4.6% | +6.9% | -0.6% | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -6.5% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 0.65 | 0.50 | -22.5% | +5.2% | -0.2% | -4.1% | -5.1% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.48 | 0.41 | -15.2% | -10.0% | -5.7% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.5% | +2.3% | +8.1% | +3.4% | +6.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.89 | 0.80 | -10.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.1% | +4.8% | +2.6% | -3.4% | +21.7% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.80 | 0.68 | -15.2% | -14.3% | -15.9% | -1.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-01-30 miss | 0.94 | 0.90 | -4.1% | +4.5% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +0.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.97 | 1.06 | +9.1% | +10.6% | +9.5% | +2.2% | -2.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.1% | -0.8% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -4.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +13.1% | -4.7% | -9.2% | +2.9% | -4.3% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.6% | -4.2% | -4.4% | +2.7% | -0.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.5% | +8.6% | +8.5% | +6.0% | +11.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.76 | 0.84 | +11.1% | +2.7% | +4.3% | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -1.0% | +6.7% | +9.8% | -14.2% | -3.2% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.80 | 0.72 | -9.4% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -7.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.5% | -5.0% | -6.3% | +10.2% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.