SBUX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 5.3% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 1.5% | 38% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -0.3% | 6.4% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.85 | +30.8% | +3.0% | +1.6% | -0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +14.5% | +4.9% | +8.4% | +0.9% | -6.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -4.6% | +6.9% | -0.6% | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -6.5% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 0.65 | 0.50 | -22.5% | +5.2% | -0.2% | -4.1% | -5.1% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.48 | 0.41 | -15.2% | -10.0% | -5.7% | +3.3% | +4.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.5% | +2.3% | +8.1% | +3.4% | +6.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.89 | 0.80 | -10.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.1% | +4.8% | +2.6% | -3.4% | +21.7% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 0.80 | 0.68 | -15.2% | -14.3% | -15.9% | -1.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-01-30 miss | 0.94 | 0.90 | -4.1% | +4.5% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +0.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.97 | 1.06 | +9.1% | +10.6% | +9.5% | +2.2% | -2.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.1% | -0.8% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -4.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +13.1% | -4.7% | -9.2% | +2.9% | -4.3% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.6% | -4.2% | -4.4% | +2.7% | -0.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.5% | +8.6% | +8.5% | +6.0% | +11.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.76 | 0.84 | +11.1% | +2.7% | +4.3% | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -1.0% | +6.7% | +9.8% | -14.2% | -3.2% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.80 | 0.72 | -9.4% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -7.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.5% | -5.0% | -6.3% | +10.2% | +3.4% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 0.78 | 1.01 | +29.5% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -6.6% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.53 | 0.62 | +16.6% | -2.3% | -3.2% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +10.3% | -3.1% | -6.5% | +3.2% | +10.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.31 | 0.51 | +63.7% | -0.6% | -1.5% | +4.2% | +13.6% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | -0.61 | -0.46 | +24.7% | +3.9% | +3.7% | -2.1% | +7.7% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.9% | -0.6% | -2.3% | -5.1% | +1.5% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.1% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +1.0% | -9.6% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.0% | +3.0% | +0.4% | -3.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +7.5% | +6.0% | +8.9% | -3.6% | -2.6% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +6.1% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -2.3% |
| 2019-01-24 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +15.2% | +3.5% | +3.6% | +1.5% | +6.0% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +4.0% | +5.7% | +9.7% | +6.7% | +3.6% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.0% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2018-04-26 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.0% | -2.2% | -1.7% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.5% | -4.3% | -4.2% | -3.8% | -2.4% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.3% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +5.9% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.1% | -7.2% | -9.2% | +2.7% | +0.7% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.3% | -3.1% | -2.0% | +1.5% | +5.3% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.0% | -4.6% | -4.0% | -1.9% | +1.3% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +2.1% | -0.7% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +8.9% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +0.6% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2016-04-21 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.1% | -2.7% | -4.9% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| 2016-01-21 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.2% | -2.5% | +0.2% | +2.7% | -1.2% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -1.0% | +1.9% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.6% | +4.5% | +1.3% | +1.1% | -12.1% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.7% | +3.8% | +4.9% | -3.0% | -1.9% |
| 2015-01-22 miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -0.4% | +4.5% | +6.6% | -0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.5% | -2.7% | -2.3% | +3.0% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +1.2% | -2.5% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.8% | +1.3% | +0.5% | -1.2% | +3.1% |
| 2014-01-23 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -0.3% | +1.8% | +2.2% | -5.1% | -5.9% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.0% | -2.6% | +0.3% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.2% | +6.5% | +7.6% | +1.2% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-25 miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -1.2% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +3.1% | +7.1% |
| 2013-01-24 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -0.3% | +3.9% | +4.1% | +0.1% | -6.2% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +2.0% | +8.4% | +9.1% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -4.7% | -10.5% | -9.4% | -7.5% | +3.5% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +2.0% | -3.9% | -5.3% | -3.3% | -3.2% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.2% | -0.9% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +1.8% | +3.7% | +6.7% | +0.3% | -1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.