SITE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +2.5% | 8.7% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 3.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | +1.0% | 6.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 3.35 | 3.20 | -4.7% | -4.2% | -9.4% | +8.7% | +1.8% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | -0.30 | -0.34 | -11.8% | -3.5% | -15.4% | +1.0% | -10.2% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | -0.18 | -0.10 | +47.0% | +3.1% | +9.7% | -7.9% | -20.5% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.29 | 1.43 | +11.4% | +3.7% | +7.2% | -6.0% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 2.93 | 2.93 | -0.2% | +2.0% | +10.6% | -4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | -0.44 | -0.33 | +23.9% | -3.7% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | -0.24 | -0.16 | +33.1% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +2.9% | -10.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 1.20 | 1.12 | -6.6% | -2.1% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +3.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.68 | 2.74 | +2.1% | -2.5% | +2.2% | -11.4% | -4.3% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | -0.19 | -0.27 | -39.7% | -8.3% | -8.5% | +8.3% | +7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.