SITE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +2.6% | 7.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -1.5% | -1.8% | 3.5% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.8% | 7.6% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 3.35 | 3.20 | -4.7% | -4.2% | -9.4% | +8.7% | +1.8% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | -0.30 | -0.34 | -11.8% | -3.5% | -15.4% | +1.0% | -10.2% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | -0.18 | -0.10 | +47.0% | +3.1% | +9.7% | -7.9% | -20.5% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.29 | 1.43 | +11.4% | +3.7% | +7.2% | -6.0% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 2.93 | 2.93 | -0.2% | +2.0% | +10.6% | -4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | -0.44 | -0.33 | +23.9% | -3.7% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | -0.24 | -0.16 | +33.1% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +2.9% | -10.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 1.20 | 1.12 | -6.6% | -2.1% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +3.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.68 | 2.74 | +2.1% | -2.5% | +2.2% | -11.4% | -4.3% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | -0.19 | -0.27 | -39.7% | -8.3% | -8.5% | +8.3% | +7.9% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | -0.13 | -0.01 | +91.4% | +5.1% | +8.5% | -1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 1.50 | 1.37 | -8.1% | -9.9% | -10.5% | +2.3% | +19.3% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.67 | 2.86 | +7.1% | -1.7% | -6.8% | -0.2% | +5.5% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +156.3% | +5.0% | +6.6% | -5.4% | -8.4% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 0.17 | 0.01 | -96.1% | -3.9% | +1.8% | -6.1% | -16.4% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.55 | 1.71 | +10.0% | +2.7% | -3.6% | +2.3% | +13.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 2.99 | 3.22 | +7.5% | -4.8% | -3.7% | +2.5% | -9.3% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.80 | +470.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -17.6% | -8.3% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.29 | 0.68 | +132.4% | +3.4% | -0.3% | -8.5% | +0.4% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 1.27 | 1.81 | +43.0% | +5.9% | +1.3% | +0.9% | -2.8% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 2.38 | 2.79 | +17.4% | +0.2% | +7.7% | +6.7% | +9.6% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | -0.45 | 0.25 | +155.0% | +0.5% | +4.2% | -11.0% | -16.4% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | -0.06 | 0.27 | +536.1% | +2.7% | +7.0% | -4.4% | +4.0% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.84 | 1.09 | +28.9% | -2.8% | +2.5% | +6.8% | +8.9% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 1.51 | 1.85 | +22.6% | +1.4% | +5.3% | -4.0% | -1.3% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | -0.55 | -0.41 | +26.0% | +4.1% | +11.9% | -6.3% | +9.9% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | -0.06 | 0.08 | +242.6% | +4.3% | +9.1% | -9.8% | -47.0% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.75 | 0.82 | +10.3% | +3.2% | +9.2% | +3.8% | +1.3% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 1.66 | 1.54 | -7.3% | -2.7% | +7.4% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | -0.47 | -0.56 | -18.8% | -4.1% | -9.3% | +2.8% | +6.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.