SMPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | +0.2% | 9.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -0.8% | 4.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.6% | +0.7% | 3.0% | 80% |
| 5-day | -3.2% | -0.6% | 11.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +18.9% | +17.1% | +1.3% | -7.2% | -14.7% |
| 2026-04-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +13.6% | -27.3% | -18.1% | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.2% | +11.2% | +6.6% | +2.4% | -20.2% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.9% | -22.2% | -17.3% | -6.8% | -2.2% |
| 2025-07-10 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +1.9% | -3.6% | -0.1% | +3.2% | -8.9% |
| 2025-04-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +14.7% | +6.8% | +9.2% | +0.7% | -1.1% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.6% | -2.7% | -2.5% | -7.1% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.9% | +1.4% | +3.3% | +1.0% | +17.0% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.3% | +5.8% | -1.3% | +1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2024-04-04 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.7% | -2.9% | +0.4% | -1.8% | +14.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.