SMPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +1.0% | 7.1% | 56% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 3.4% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 56% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +2.0% | 9.2% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +18.9% | +17.1% | +1.3% | -7.2% | -14.7% |
| 2026-04-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +13.6% | -27.3% | -18.1% | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2026-01-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.2% | +11.2% | +6.6% | +2.4% | -20.2% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.9% | -22.2% | -17.3% | -6.8% | -2.2% |
| 2025-07-10 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +1.9% | -3.6% | -0.1% | +3.2% | -8.9% |
| 2025-04-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +14.7% | +6.8% | +9.2% | +0.7% | -1.1% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.6% | -2.7% | -2.5% | -7.1% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.9% | +1.4% | +3.3% | +1.0% | +17.0% |
| 2024-06-27 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.3% | +5.8% | -1.3% | +1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2024-04-04 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.7% | -2.9% | +0.4% | -1.8% | +14.1% |
| 2024-01-04 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.4% | +3.6% | +7.8% | -4.4% | -13.0% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.2% | -2.9% | +6.9% | +7.2% | +13.9% |
| 2023-06-29 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.8% | +3.9% | +3.4% | +2.1% | +8.2% |
| 2023-04-05 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.7% | -4.7% | -4.8% | -2.3% | +2.7% |
| 2023-01-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.7% | -5.8% | -8.7% | +4.4% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.36 | +25.6% | +4.1% | +10.0% | +4.1% | +7.4% |
| 2022-06-30 beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +25.8% | -4.1% | -8.3% | -2.0% | -13.0% |
| 2022-04-06 beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +32.3% | -0.8% | +4.7% | +4.7% | -4.7% |
| 2022-01-05 beat | 0.34 | 0.43 | +24.8% | -1.2% | -8.2% | -1.0% | -8.6% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +9.2% | +4.0% | +8.6% | +6.4% | +4.9% |
| 2021-07-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.43 | +51.9% | +5.5% | +1.8% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2021-04-07 beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +11.2% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +3.5% | +10.5% |
| 2021-01-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.29 | +38.5% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -4.5% | -4.8% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +24.3% | -3.0% | -5.1% | -6.2% | +14.5% |
| 2020-07-08 beat | 0.15 | 0.26 | +71.3% | +5.2% | +4.7% | +0.9% | +9.8% |
| 2020-04-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +7.7% | +3.9% | -8.7% | -0.6% | +6.1% |
| 2020-01-09 miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -2.6% | -3.1% | -10.7% | +0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -36.6% | +1.7% | -0.9% | -1.8% | +18.0% |
| 2019-07-02 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +22.4% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +6.5% | +5.2% |
| 2019-04-04 beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +18.2% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2019-01-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.0% | -5.6% | +5.3% | -2.6% | -1.9% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +23.8% | -3.3% | -5.7% | +3.4% | +7.3% |
| 2018-07-10 beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +14.3% | +11.9% | +11.4% | -0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2018-04-10 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +3.3% | +4.0% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +6.0% |
| 2018-01-09 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +7.0% | +13.7% | +1.1% | -1.3% | -4.7% |
| 2017-11-08 beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +51.6% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +12.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.