SPH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -1.6% | 3.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.5% | 3.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.15 | -0.27 | -76.9% | -2.1% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.98 | 2.08 | +5.1% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +2.9% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.6% | -0.4% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2025-11-13 miss | -0.51 | -0.54 | -6.3% | +1.1% | +1.7% | -1.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -0.17 | -0.17 | +2.5% | -0.6% | -2.5% | +6.4% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 2.21 | 2.10 | -5.1% | +1.7% | -5.9% | +2.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.76 | 0.58 | -23.8% | -6.6% | -4.2% | +3.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | -0.48 | -0.54 | -13.2% | -0.9% | -8.9% | +6.2% | +5.6% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.12 | -0.12 | -3.8% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 1.81 | 1.71 | -5.8% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -3.6% | +8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.