SPH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.2% | 3.3% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 2.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -0.2% | 3.1% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.15 | -0.27 | -76.9% | -2.1% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.98 | 2.08 | +5.1% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +2.9% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.6% | -0.4% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2025-11-13 miss | -0.51 | -0.54 | -6.3% | +1.1% | +1.7% | -1.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -0.17 | -0.17 | +2.5% | -0.6% | -2.5% | +6.4% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 2.21 | 2.10 | -5.1% | +1.7% | -5.9% | +2.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.76 | 0.58 | -23.8% | -6.6% | -4.2% | +3.5% | -3.6% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | -0.48 | -0.54 | -13.2% | -0.9% | -8.9% | +6.2% | +5.6% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.12 | -0.12 | -3.8% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 1.81 | 1.71 | -5.8% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -3.6% | +8.0% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -2.3% | -4.6% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | -0.44 | -0.52 | -18.2% | -2.9% | -1.4% | +3.8% | +3.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +61.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 1.78 | 1.75 | -1.6% | -0.8% | -4.1% | +4.0% | +2.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.71 | +34.0% | -0.8% | -1.0% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | -0.45 | -0.86 | -91.1% | -0.4% | -2.6% | -1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.18 | -0.04 | +77.8% | -0.2% | -2.2% | +5.5% | +6.0% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 2.04 | 2.74 | +34.3% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.77 | 0.34 | -55.8% | -1.3% | -2.1% | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | -0.65 | -0.26 | +60.2% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -2.5% | -6.7% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.42 | -0.41 | +2.4% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +1.7% | -1.2% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.74 | 2.02 | +16.4% | +2.0% | +0.8% | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | 0.62 | 0.53 | -14.1% | -1.6% | -1.9% | +3.4% | -0.9% |
| 2020-11-12 beat | -0.76 | -0.66 | +13.2% | -2.8% | +5.5% | -7.7% | -13.3% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.55 | -0.25 | +54.2% | +1.0% | +7.7% | +0.1% | -4.8% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 1.60 | 1.23 | -23.4% | -2.6% | -2.6% | +4.3% | +29.8% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | 0.76 | 0.60 | -21.1% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -2.0% | -29.4% |
| 2019-11-14 miss | -0.76 | -0.81 | -6.6% | -1.3% | -5.2% | +0.0% | -3.3% |
| 2019-08-08 miss | -0.42 | -0.47 | -12.1% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 1.79 | 1.81 | +1.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +0.6% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.