SPR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.8% | -0.5% | 8.2% | 26% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -0.7% | 3.3% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | -0.1% | 5.2% | 37% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | +1.4% | 13.0% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | -0.25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-31 miss | -0.71 | -4.87 | -586.8% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -2.4% | +8.2% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | -1.25 | -3.34 | -166.6% | -0.1% | +0.8% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -1.56 | -4.25 | -172.4% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +6.2% |
| 2025-02-28 miss | -3.01 | -4.22 | -40.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -7.4% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | -0.52 | -3.03 | -480.6% | -3.5% | -3.0% | +2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | -0.86 | -2.73 | -218.5% | -1.0% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +0.7% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | -0.58 | -3.93 | -581.5% | -3.1% | -0.3% | -7.0% | -7.5% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 0.75 | 0.48 | -36.3% | -1.3% | +5.0% | +6.7% | +27.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -1.53 | -1.42 | +7.2% | +2.6% | +7.9% | -5.4% | +15.5% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | -0.90 | -1.46 | -63.1% | -4.0% | -27.3% | -0.6% | -6.7% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | -0.26 | -1.69 | -544.5% | +2.8% | -12.3% | -8.8% | +8.3% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | -0.23 | -1.46 | -521.3% | -2.5% | +11.6% | -3.2% | -16.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.39 | -0.15 | +61.4% | -2.6% | -5.8% | +32.0% | +22.4% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | -0.25 | -1.21 | -386.4% | -3.8% | -7.4% | +3.7% | -8.3% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | -0.59 | 0.03 | +105.1% | +0.0% | -7.2% | -21.8% | -17.7% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | -0.66 | -0.84 | -27.9% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +7.6% | -9.1% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | -0.77 | -1.13 | -46.4% | -1.4% | -5.3% | +10.1% | -7.4% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | -0.69 | -0.31 | +55.4% | -4.5% | -6.3% | +8.3% | -0.6% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | -1.02 | -1.22 | -20.1% | -0.9% | -5.4% | -5.2% | +17.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.