SPXC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.4% | +6.7% | 8.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 3.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.3% | 1.5% | 80% |
| 5-day | +5.0% | +6.4% | 7.8% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.85 | 2.02 | +9.3% | +7.2% | +10.2% | -1.8% | -10.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.56 | 1.69 | +8.3% | -5.1% | -4.9% | -2.5% | +10.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 1.87 | 1.88 | +0.7% | -4.2% | -6.7% | -2.0% | -11.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.62 | 1.84 | +13.8% | +5.0% | +12.6% | -0.9% | -6.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.45 | 1.65 | +13.6% | +1.4% | +7.7% | +2.7% | -6.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.17 | 1.38 | +17.6% | +5.0% | +5.9% | +2.9% | +9.2% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.51 | 1.51 | +0.1% | +12.0% | +10.9% | -6.7% | -11.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +2.5% | -2.5% | -9.7% | +15.9% | +23.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.25 | 1.42 | +13.3% | -2.3% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.03 | 1.25 | +20.8% | +5.0% | +7.4% | +7.3% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.