SPXC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.8% | +1.6% | 6.7% | 62% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.3% | 2.9% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 2.1% | 55% |
| 5-day | +3.7% | +3.7% | 8.6% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.85 | 2.02 | +9.3% | +7.2% | +10.2% | -1.8% | -10.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.56 | 1.69 | +8.3% | -5.1% | -4.9% | -2.5% | +10.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 1.87 | 1.88 | +0.7% | -4.2% | -6.7% | -2.0% | -11.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.62 | 1.84 | +13.8% | +5.0% | +12.6% | -0.9% | -6.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.45 | 1.65 | +13.6% | +1.4% | +7.7% | +2.7% | -6.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.17 | 1.38 | +17.6% | +5.0% | +5.9% | +2.9% | +9.2% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.51 | 1.51 | +0.1% | +12.0% | +10.9% | -6.7% | -11.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +2.5% | -2.5% | -9.7% | +15.9% | +23.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.25 | 1.42 | +13.3% | -2.3% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.03 | 1.25 | +20.8% | +5.0% | +7.4% | +7.3% | +2.1% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 1.26 | 1.25 | -1.1% | -0.1% | -2.5% | +5.7% | +8.4% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.97 | 1.06 | +9.2% | -2.3% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.83 | 1.06 | +27.7% | +6.9% | +6.7% | -9.9% | -9.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.60 | 0.93 | +54.2% | +13.4% | +20.1% | -1.7% | +12.4% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.98 | 1.17 | +19.8% | -1.3% | -2.0% | +1.9% | -5.7% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.66 | 0.81 | +23.1% | +3.7% | +5.5% | +8.1% | -1.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +16.7% | +1.3% | +3.8% | +4.4% | -5.6% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +15.9% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +16.2% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.4% | -5.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -7.6% | -8.2% | +0.1% | +5.5% | -2.1% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +7.9% | -0.5% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -7.2% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.7% | +1.5% | +2.5% | -0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2021-02-23 miss | 0.91 | 0.89 | -2.6% | -0.4% | +1.0% | -4.3% | -0.2% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.51 | 0.64 | +25.4% | -0.7% | -5.5% | +1.8% | +25.7% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.46 | 0.64 | +39.0% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +4.3% | -0.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.62 | +26.4% | +6.4% | -4.9% | +6.3% | +12.4% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.6% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -6.8% | -32.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +20.6% | +10.4% | +6.7% | +0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.52 | 0.67 | +29.1% | +10.5% | +7.3% | +1.6% | +2.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +5.4% | -7.9% | -1.6% | -7.8% | -11.2% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.84 | 0.89 | +6.5% | +8.8% | +11.5% | +3.1% | -1.4% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.46 | 0.37 | -19.1% | -2.9% | -6.0% | +3.1% | -2.9% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.3% | +6.9% | -0.7% | -4.6% | -8.3% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.1% | -0.3% | -0.9% | +6.0% | +10.9% |
| 2018-02-15 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.4% | -6.5% | -1.2% | +6.3% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.29 | 0.36 | +26.0% | +10.2% | +8.3% | -2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +24.8% | +0.2% | -4.7% | -4.7% | -9.4% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.27 | 0.38 | +39.1% | +3.2% | +17.7% | -2.0% | -12.8% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +5.2% | +0.0% | +10.8% | -1.5% | -13.6% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | 0.25 | 0.14 | -44.4% | -10.6% | -0.9% | +15.2% | +37.6% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +33.4% | +7.0% | +16.8% | +2.9% | +13.1% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +22.6% | +4.5% | +8.2% | -2.4% | +0.8% |
| 2016-02-25 miss | 0.57 | 0.52 | -8.4% | +5.8% | +17.7% | +16.7% | +32.1% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.56 | +151.0% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -11.9% | -24.5% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.75 | 1.07 | +43.0% | +0.9% | +6.0% | -5.7% | -14.9% |
| 2015-04-29 miss | 0.08 | — | -103.2% | -3.5% | -7.7% | -2.4% | -5.6% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 2.21 | 2.36 | +7.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 1.38 | 1.61 | +16.6% | +8.5% | +1.0% | -3.9% | -6.7% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +6.5% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +2.6% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +32.7% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2014-02-12 beat | 1.83 | 2.06 | +12.3% | +5.2% | +3.1% | +3.5% | -0.3% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 1.27 | 1.41 | +10.6% | +2.4% | +5.1% | +2.0% | +3.9% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 0.67 | 1.10 | +65.4% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -3.2% | -7.4% | -8.4% | +9.2% | +15.6% |
| 2013-02-14 beat | 1.58 | 2.18 | +37.5% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2012-10-31 miss | 1.09 | 1.06 | -2.7% | -0.5% | +4.1% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2012-08-01 miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -1.0% | +0.2% | -3.1% | +8.0% | +7.6% |
| 2012-05-02 miss | 0.23 | 0.23 | -0.3% | -2.0% | +0.4% | +0.6% | -11.7% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 1.75 | 1.78 | +1.7% | -1.4% | +3.4% | -1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 1.08 | 1.34 | +23.4% | +8.3% | +10.1% | +0.6% | +8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.