SQM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +1.8% | 3.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 2.9% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 4.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.8% | 5.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 2.04 | 2.31 | +13.0% | +1.1% | +1.2% | +3.8% | — |
| 2026-05-26 miss | 1.56 | 1.28 | -18.0% | -3.0% | +4.4% | -6.4% | -14.7% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 0.80 | 0.64 | -19.8% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -7.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-19 miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -2.0% | +5.5% | +6.2% | +0.2% | +9.0% |
| 2025-08-20 miss | 0.54 | 0.31 | -42.1% | -5.3% | -1.5% | +5.8% | -2.0% |
| 2025-05-27 miss | 0.61 | 0.48 | -20.9% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +2.2% | +11.7% |
| 2025-03-05 miss | 0.54 | 0.42 | -22.3% | +1.0% | +4.1% | +3.5% | -1.3% |
| 2024-11-20 miss | 0.65 | 0.46 | -28.8% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -0.5% | -3.8% |
| 2024-08-21 miss | 0.95 | 0.75 | -21.0% | +1.4% | +3.2% | -3.3% | -4.1% |
| 2024-05-23 miss | -1.00 | -3.04 | -204.3% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -3.9% | -17.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.