SQM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 4.2% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 3.0% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.9% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.7% | 6.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 beat | 2.04 | 2.31 | +13.0% | +1.1% | +1.2% | +3.8% | — |
| 2026-05-26 miss | 1.56 | 1.28 | -18.0% | -3.0% | +4.4% | -6.4% | -14.7% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 0.80 | 0.64 | -19.8% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -7.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-19 miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -2.0% | +5.5% | +6.2% | +0.2% | +9.0% |
| 2025-08-20 miss | 0.54 | 0.31 | -42.1% | -5.3% | -1.5% | +5.8% | -2.0% |
| 2025-05-27 miss | 0.61 | 0.48 | -20.9% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +2.2% | +11.7% |
| 2025-03-05 miss | 0.54 | 0.42 | -22.3% | +1.0% | +4.1% | +3.5% | -1.3% |
| 2024-11-20 miss | 0.65 | 0.46 | -28.8% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -0.5% | -3.8% |
| 2024-08-21 miss | 0.95 | 0.75 | -21.0% | +1.4% | +3.2% | -3.3% | -4.1% |
| 2024-05-23 miss | -1.00 | -3.04 | -204.3% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -3.9% | -17.3% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 1.06 | 0.71 | -32.8% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +6.8% |
| 2023-11-15 miss | 2.06 | 1.68 | -18.2% | -1.9% | -8.0% | +7.3% | +19.2% |
| 2023-08-16 miss | 2.51 | 2.03 | -19.1% | -1.5% | -1.6% | +2.3% | -5.7% |
| 2023-05-18 miss | 3.01 | 2.63 | -12.7% | -1.2% | +0.2% | -9.2% | -1.1% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 3.81 | 4.03 | +5.8% | +1.7% | +4.4% | -12.1% | -13.1% |
| 2022-11-16 beat | 3.32 | 3.85 | +16.0% | +0.4% | -9.2% | +2.2% | -7.4% |
| 2022-08-18 miss | 3.15 | 3.01 | -4.6% | -4.3% | -10.0% | +12.6% | +13.8% |
| 2022-05-19 beat | 1.51 | 2.79 | +84.2% | +2.0% | +5.6% | +12.5% | -1.7% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 0.89 | 1.13 | +26.4% | +0.1% | +6.2% | -4.2% | +14.0% |
| 2021-11-17 miss | 0.49 | 0.37 | -24.6% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +2.3% | -24.8% |
| 2021-08-19 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.9% | -3.1% | -1.2% | +6.8% | +12.4% |
| 2021-05-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +3.2% | +2.4% | -2.3% | +2.9% | +5.1% |
| 2021-03-03 beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +49.3% | -1.3% | -7.3% | +14.4% | +6.7% |
| 2020-11-19 miss | 0.22 | 0.14 | -38.9% | -2.2% | -1.5% | +7.8% | +6.8% |
| 2020-08-19 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -9.5% | +1.8% | +0.1% | -1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2020-05-19 miss | 0.24 | 0.17 | -28.7% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +7.2% | +12.6% |
| 2020-03-02 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.3% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -12.1% | -27.9% |
| 2019-11-20 miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -14.4% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +19.3% |
| 2019-08-21 miss | 0.37 | 0.27 | -26.4% | -8.3% | -6.8% | +0.8% | +17.7% |
| 2019-05-23 miss | 0.38 | 0.31 | -17.5% | -5.0% | -5.8% | -1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.47 | 0.41 | -12.6% | -2.6% | -8.4% | -8.7% | -6.7% |
| 2018-11-21 miss | 0.40 | 0.32 | -20.4% | -1.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% | -8.6% |
| 2018-08-22 beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.2% | -0.7% | -5.0% | -2.1% | +11.0% |
| 2018-05-24 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -5.2% | -0.9% | -6.0% | +2.3% | -4.2% |
| 2018-02-28 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.4% | +1.9% | -6.4% | +7.6% | +2.7% |
| 2017-11-22 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.6% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -3.6% | +4.8% |
| 2017-08-23 miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -2.5% | -0.8% | +3.8% | +1.9% | +15.0% |
| 2017-05-17 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.8% | -1.2% | +1.7% | +7.9% | -1.8% |
| 2017-03-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +12.8% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +0.5% | +3.8% |
| 2016-11-23 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -7.3% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016-08-24 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.7% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2016-05-18 miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -12.0% | +0.2% | +4.8% | +4.9% | +13.8% |
| 2016-03-02 miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -19.2% | -1.2% | -1.0% | +2.9% | +11.9% |
| 2015-11-17 miss | 0.31 | 0.18 | -41.7% | -1.0% | -3.6% | -1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2015-08-25 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +7.5% | +1.8% | +3.9% | +5.1% | +5.3% |
| 2015-05-19 miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -11.9% | -1.1% | -3.9% | -4.7% | -19.7% |
| 2015-03-03 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -6.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -9.1% | -26.7% |
| 2014-11-18 miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -13.0% | +1.8% | +6.6% | -3.0% | -11.6% |
| 2014-08-26 miss | 0.34 | 0.27 | -21.2% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +0.7% | -4.3% |
| 2014-05-20 miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -11.4% | -0.3% | +2.1% | +5.2% | +6.5% |
| 2014-03-04 miss | 0.32 | 0.26 | -18.8% | -3.8% | +4.6% | -6.6% | -6.1% |
| 2013-11-19 beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +11.0% | -1.8% | -8.5% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 2013-08-27 miss | 0.53 | 0.41 | -22.1% | -1.6% | -1.4% | +14.9% | +24.1% |
| 2013-05-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -2.8% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -3.0% | -14.8% |
| 2013-03-05 miss | 0.59 | 0.54 | -8.5% | -3.2% | -2.8% | +4.6% | -1.9% |
| 2012-11-20 miss | 0.73 | 0.63 | -13.3% | -1.9% | -5.0% | -1.4% | +1.6% |
| 2012-08-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.73 | +11.4% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +1.8% | +0.6% |
| 2012-05-29 miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2012-03-06 beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +3.0% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +4.3% |
| 2011-11-22 miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.0% | -1.9% | -2.8% | +5.5% | -0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.