ST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.2% | +5.0% | 6.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +2.0% | 4.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +1.1% | 2.5% | 70% |
| 5-day | +5.2% | +3.0% | 10.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +4.9% | +7.2% | +4.3% | -3.5% | -14.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.8% | +1.6% | -4.7% | +15.6% | +24.8% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +2.1% | -0.9% | +6.1% | -2.6% | -9.8% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.6% | +4.5% | +5.8% | -2.9% | -1.7% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +4.0% | -4.1% | -3.6% | -6.3% | +6.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +9.3% | +13.8% | +6.3% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.4% | +1.4% | +8.6% | +7.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.2% | -4.0% | -6.1% | +4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.2% | -3.5% | +0.7% | -7.9% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +19.7% | +7.1% | +9.6% | +5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.