ST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -2.0% | 6.1% | 37% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 3.1% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.5% | 2.4% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -1.8% | 8.7% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +4.9% | +7.2% | +4.3% | -3.5% | -14.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.8% | +1.6% | -4.7% | +15.6% | +24.8% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +2.1% | -0.9% | +6.1% | -2.6% | -9.8% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.6% | +4.5% | +5.8% | -2.9% | -1.7% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +4.0% | -4.1% | -3.6% | -6.3% | +6.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +9.3% | +13.8% | +6.3% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.4% | +1.4% | +8.6% | +7.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.2% | -4.0% | -6.1% | +4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.2% | -3.5% | +0.7% | -7.9% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +19.7% | +7.1% | +9.6% | +5.7% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.3% | -7.2% | -8.5% | -2.1% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.1% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.0% | -9.1% | -8.5% | -1.3% | -11.9% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 0.87 | 0.92 | +6.1% | -3.0% | -7.8% | -2.9% | -7.9% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +9.7% | +4.4% | +10.8% | +4.4% | +0.3% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 0.85 | 0.85 | -0.5% | -3.8% | -5.2% | +2.7% | +14.1% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 0.83 | 0.83 | -0.5% | -6.7% | -5.6% | +6.4% | +0.8% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.4% | -0.8% | -6.6% | +3.2% | -1.3% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.87 | +8.1% | -1.2% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.5% | +0.5% | -1.0% | +3.8% | +8.9% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 0.87 | 0.95 | +8.6% | -1.3% | -1.9% | +8.4% | +9.9% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.86 | +17.6% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -1.5% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.0% | +0.3% | -2.3% | +0.8% | +8.2% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +19.8% | +0.2% | -8.1% | +2.3% | +13.4% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +7.3% | -4.9% | -5.5% | -1.1% | +4.9% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.53 | -5.0% | +2.3% | +3.3% | -10.6% | -6.9% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.7% | -0.3% | +3.3% | -1.7% | -32.9% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.90 | 0.90 | -0.6% | -4.5% | -1.7% | +6.0% | +1.5% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -0.9% | -3.7% | -2.4% | -3.8% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -2.0% | -14.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.