STM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.6% | -1.0% | 8.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | -2.6% | -2.5% | 12.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -10.8% | -17.3% | -18.7% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-23 miss | 0.18 | 0.04 | -77.6% | +7.3% | +10.8% | +10.9% | +34.5% |
| 2026-01-29 miss | 0.27 | 0.11 | -59.9% | -6.8% | -5.6% | +1.3% | +17.0% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.22 | 0.29 | +33.5% | -11.1% | -13.3% | -3.2% | -13.0% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -30.8% | -15.5% | -15.9% | -4.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +48.6% | +7.1% | +7.2% | -2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.2% | -8.9% | -9.0% | +1.1% | +7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +14.6% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +0.0% | -3.8% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.4% | -12.6% | -15.4% | -6.2% | -5.5% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.65 | 0.54 | -16.6% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -8.0% | -1.7% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +19.8% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -2.9% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.08 | 1.16 | +7.7% | +4.0% | +3.2% | -0.5% | +12.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.08 | 1.06 | -1.6% | +6.4% | +5.2% | -5.5% | -14.6% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.10 | +8.9% | -7.7% | -7.4% | -3.5% | +2.8% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.9% | +5.9% | +7.8% | +8.0% | +3.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.16 | +11.9% | -6.3% | -8.3% | -5.6% | +17.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.80 | 0.92 | +14.7% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +6.3% | -6.1% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +11.0% | -1.0% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +6.8% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.82 | +18.6% | +5.8% | -1.1% | +1.4% | -3.5% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.4% | +4.8% | +7.7% | +4.1% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.