STT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 4.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | -0.2% | 4.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 3.34 | 3.65 | +9.2% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +3.3% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 2.64 | 2.84 | +7.5% | +2.0% | +2.5% | +3.7% | +5.7% |
| 2026-01-16 beat | 2.84 | 2.97 | +4.8% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +1.3% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 2.65 | 2.78 | +5.0% | -3.8% | -1.4% | +4.3% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 2.36 | 2.53 | +7.1% | -4.1% | -7.3% | +7.5% | +9.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 2.01 | 2.04 | +1.7% | -5.2% | +2.0% | +7.5% | +20.9% |
| 2025-01-17 beat | 2.44 | 2.60 | +6.5% | -4.8% | -2.8% | +2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 2.12 | 2.26 | +6.6% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -2.1% | +3.6% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 2.02 | 2.15 | +6.3% | +0.7% | +7.4% | -1.2% | -6.9% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 1.50 | 1.69 | +12.8% | +1.0% | +2.5% | -3.2% | +0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.