STT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +1.0% | 5.4% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -1.0% | 2.3% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.9% | 7.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 3.34 | 3.65 | +9.2% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +3.3% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 2.64 | 2.84 | +7.5% | +2.0% | +2.5% | +3.7% | +5.7% |
| 2026-01-16 beat | 2.84 | 2.97 | +4.8% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +1.3% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 2.65 | 2.78 | +5.0% | -3.8% | -1.4% | +4.3% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 2.36 | 2.53 | +7.1% | -4.1% | -7.3% | +7.5% | +9.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 2.01 | 2.04 | +1.7% | -5.2% | +2.0% | +7.5% | +20.9% |
| 2025-01-17 beat | 2.44 | 2.60 | +6.5% | -4.8% | -2.8% | +2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 2.12 | 2.26 | +6.6% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -2.1% | +3.6% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 2.02 | 2.15 | +6.3% | +0.7% | +7.4% | -1.2% | -6.9% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 1.50 | 1.69 | +12.8% | +1.0% | +2.5% | -3.2% | +0.5% |
| 2024-01-19 beat | 1.83 | 2.04 | +11.5% | +7.5% | +2.1% | -1.0% | -5.7% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 1.83 | 1.93 | +5.2% | +2.6% | +2.0% | -6.7% | +1.0% |
| 2023-07-14 beat | 2.10 | 2.17 | +3.4% | -3.2% | -12.1% | +3.2% | +4.8% |
| 2023-04-17 miss | 1.64 | 1.52 | -7.6% | -16.3% | -9.2% | +1.1% | -8.3% |
| 2023-01-20 beat | 1.96 | 2.07 | +5.8% | +3.5% | +4.7% | +7.7% | +5.8% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 1.78 | 1.82 | +2.2% | +2.5% | +1.0% | +11.8% | +22.5% |
| 2022-07-15 beat | 1.73 | 1.94 | +12.3% | +6.3% | +9.7% | +3.8% | +13.4% |
| 2022-04-14 beat | 1.48 | 1.59 | +7.7% | +0.5% | -8.5% | -6.5% | -9.9% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 1.89 | 2.00 | +5.9% | +1.1% | -7.1% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2021-10-18 beat | 1.92 | 2.00 | +4.2% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2021-07-16 beat | 1.80 | 1.97 | +9.7% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +1.2% | +6.8% |
| 2021-04-16 beat | 1.34 | 1.47 | +9.3% | +0.5% | -7.0% | +0.8% | +7.4% |
| 2021-01-19 beat | 1.55 | 1.69 | +8.8% | -2.6% | +1.6% | -7.4% | -4.7% |
| 2020-10-16 beat | 1.41 | 1.45 | +2.8% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2020-07-17 beat | 1.60 | 1.88 | +17.9% | -1.0% | -4.4% | +1.0% | +12.2% |
| 2020-04-17 beat | 1.35 | 1.67 | +23.5% | +5.9% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2020-01-17 beat | 1.69 | 1.98 | +17.2% | +3.7% | +1.8% | -8.6% | -4.6% |
| 2019-10-18 beat | 1.40 | 1.51 | +8.1% | +2.3% | +6.1% | +3.8% | +15.9% |
| 2019-07-19 beat | 1.40 | 1.45 | +3.4% | +2.0% | +6.7% | +0.5% | -15.3% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 1.21 | 1.24 | +2.2% | -2.7% | -4.3% | +1.2% | -11.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.