SYF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 4.7% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.3% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 56% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +1.9% | 6.1% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 2.13 | 2.59 | +21.9% | +1.5% | -1.6% | +6.8% | +10.3% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 2.16 | 2.27 | +5.1% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -7.2% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.02 | 2.18 | +7.8% | -1.4% | -5.8% | +1.2% | +1.3% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 2.21 | 2.86 | +29.3% | +0.8% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.79 | 2.50 | +39.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.65 | 1.89 | +14.5% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +8.0% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-28 miss | 1.92 | 1.91 | -0.5% | -4.8% | -4.6% | -1.1% | -11.1% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 1.82 | 1.94 | +6.6% | +3.6% | +6.1% | -2.7% | +14.8% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.37 | 1.55 | +12.9% | -0.2% | +1.0% | -4.5% | -12.1% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 1.37 | 1.18 | -13.6% | +0.3% | +5.0% | -2.4% | -4.8% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 0.95 | 1.18 | +24.0% | -0.1% | -0.9% | +6.0% | +6.0% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.44 | 1.48 | +2.8% | +1.3% | -4.4% | +2.5% | +8.4% |
| 2023-07-18 beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.8% | +1.7% | +1.9% | -2.8% | -9.1% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 1.45 | 1.35 | -7.1% | +3.1% | +1.8% | -5.4% | -2.6% |
| 2023-01-23 beat | 1.12 | 1.26 | +12.9% | -0.5% | -2.4% | +4.6% | +2.6% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.39 | 1.47 | +6.1% | +0.0% | +5.7% | +2.7% | +5.4% |
| 2022-07-18 beat | 1.38 | 1.60 | +16.0% | +2.3% | +0.3% | +4.3% | +14.5% |
| 2022-04-18 beat | 1.54 | 1.77 | +14.9% | +0.6% | +6.2% | -4.3% | -11.6% |
| 2022-01-28 miss | 1.41 | 1.34 | -5.2% | -7.1% | -6.8% | +2.6% | -4.7% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.46 | 1.67 | +14.7% | +0.2% | +2.6% | -6.5% | -7.2% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 1.36 | 2.12 | +56.3% | -2.9% | +2.7% | +2.7% | +8.6% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.38 | 1.73 | +25.1% | -4.2% | -1.8% | +9.5% | +14.8% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.86 | 1.24 | +44.8% | -2.8% | -6.2% | +10.8% | +17.6% |
| 2020-10-20 miss | 0.69 | 0.63 | -8.7% | -3.5% | -5.1% | -5.0% | +8.9% |
| 2020-07-21 miss | 0.20 | 0.06 | -69.5% | -1.5% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +6.5% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.66 | 0.45 | -31.4% | -3.8% | -2.7% | +23.5% | +19.4% |
| 2020-01-24 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.8% | -5.8% | -9.9% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2019-10-18 beat | 1.13 | 1.22 | +7.8% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +2.9% | +8.2% |
| 2019-07-19 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +0.7% | -0.1% | -2.9% | +4.4% | -4.5% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 0.90 | 1.00 | +11.7% | +1.7% | +0.3% | +3.2% | +5.0% |
| 2019-01-23 beat | 0.93 | 1.09 | +17.3% | +12.8% | +10.7% | +2.3% | +8.4% |
| 2018-10-19 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +13.9% | +2.7% | +5.8% | -10.8% | -18.6% |
| 2018-07-27 beat | 0.82 | 0.92 | +11.6% | +1.9% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +6.4% |
| 2018-04-20 beat | 0.76 | 0.83 | +9.9% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -5.9% | +1.5% |
| 2018-01-19 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +9.4% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +4.5% | -5.0% |
| 2017-10-20 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.8% | +5.4% | +4.2% | -0.3% | +2.5% |
| 2017-07-21 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.3% | +6.6% | +4.5% | -3.0% | -2.0% |
| 2017-04-28 miss | 0.74 | 0.61 | -17.0% | -16.8% | -15.9% | +2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2017-01-20 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +5.2% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2016-10-21 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.8% | +2.7% | +4.1% | +3.1% | +19.1% |
| 2016-07-22 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +6.6% | +1.2% | +0.5% | -1.8% | -4.0% |
| 2016-04-22 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +2.0% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -2.2% |
| 2016-01-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.7% | +5.7% | +4.8% | -2.2% | -5.3% |
| 2015-10-16 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.3% | +0.2% | -3.7% | +5.1% | +0.5% |
| 2015-07-17 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +4.9% | +1.1% | +2.8% | -1.1% | +0.7% |
| 2015-04-17 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.6% | +0.7% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +4.3% |
| 2015-01-23 beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +6.6% | +3.3% | +6.6% | -0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2014-10-17 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +17.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.