TAP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.9% | 5.4% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.5% | +2.1% | 2.5% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +2.6% | 6.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +4.4% | +4.4% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -4.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.62 | +70.6% | +3.5% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -8.7% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.15 | 1.21 | +5.0% | -6.3% | -4.9% | -0.6% | -14.4% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 1.70 | 1.67 | -1.5% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +8.0% | +4.4% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.82 | 2.05 | +12.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.80 | 0.50 | -37.2% | -7.9% | -4.5% | +3.7% | -4.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 1.13 | 1.30 | +15.3% | +7.1% | +9.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 1.67 | 1.80 | +7.9% | -7.0% | +0.4% | +10.6% | +8.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.68 | 1.92 | +14.0% | +6.4% | +5.4% | -1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.75 | 0.95 | +27.3% | -1.7% | -9.9% | +1.8% | -7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.