TAP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.6% | 5.2% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 62% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +1.2% | 6.5% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +4.4% | +4.4% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -4.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.62 | +70.6% | +3.5% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -8.7% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.15 | 1.21 | +5.0% | -6.3% | -4.9% | -0.6% | -14.4% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 1.70 | 1.67 | -1.5% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +8.0% | +4.4% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.82 | 2.05 | +12.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.80 | 0.50 | -37.2% | -7.9% | -4.5% | +3.7% | -4.0% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 1.13 | 1.30 | +15.3% | +7.1% | +9.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 1.67 | 1.80 | +7.9% | -7.0% | +0.4% | +10.6% | +8.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.68 | 1.92 | +14.0% | +6.4% | +5.4% | -1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.75 | 0.95 | +27.3% | -1.7% | -9.9% | +1.8% | -7.1% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.4% | +0.6% | -1.3% | +1.9% | +7.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.54 | 1.92 | +25.1% | +1.4% | -0.6% | +0.6% | +7.7% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.65 | 1.78 | +8.0% | -6.6% | -4.7% | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.26 | 0.54 | +105.1% | +3.9% | +7.7% | -0.9% | -4.2% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 1.07 | 1.30 | +21.4% | +8.2% | +3.1% | -0.9% | -6.8% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 1.35 | 1.32 | -2.3% | -0.2% | -3.2% | +5.1% | +12.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.1% | -4.5% | -10.5% | +3.2% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.29 | +50.9% | +1.2% | -3.0% | +4.1% | +2.4% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.4% | +1.4% | +4.6% | +0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.51 | 1.75 | +15.6% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +5.4% | +3.4% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.34 | 1.58 | +18.2% | +0.9% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -3.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | -0.10 | 0.01 | +110.2% | +2.3% | +7.0% | +7.1% | +5.1% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | 0.77 | 0.40 | -47.8% | -6.1% | -9.1% | -0.2% | +7.1% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.02 | 1.62 | +59.4% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +14.6% | +37.8% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.64 | 1.56 | +143.3% | +4.6% | +1.9% | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.0% | -9.3% | -11.2% | -8.3% | -7.4% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.78 | 1.02 | +30.1% | +5.2% | -4.4% | -0.2% | -23.3% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 1.51 | 1.48 | -1.7% | -3.1% | -3.1% | +2.8% | -4.8% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 1.65 | 1.52 | -8.0% | -6.8% | -5.1% | -3.4% | -5.4% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 0.58 | 0.52 | -9.8% | -1.9% | -7.5% | -0.3% | -7.4% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.2% | -7.9% | -9.4% | +3.7% | +2.2% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 1.59 | 1.84 | +15.5% | +6.7% | +9.9% | -0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 1.83 | 1.88 | +2.6% | -2.6% | +3.5% | -4.0% | -3.5% |
| 2018-05-02 miss | 0.78 | 0.48 | -38.7% | -5.1% | -15.4% | +0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +9.2% | +2.0% | +6.3% | -2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2017-11-01 miss | 1.35 | 1.34 | -0.5% | +0.9% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 1.61 | 1.66 | +2.9% | +5.0% | +3.0% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | 0.93 | 0.76 | -18.2% | -3.5% | -4.7% | +2.1% | +6.6% |
| 2017-02-14 miss | 0.56 | 0.46 | -17.7% | +1.0% | +3.4% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.5% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -10.1% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.43 | 0.54 | +26.4% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2016-02-11 miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.5% | -1.7% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +10.6% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 1.28 | 1.40 | +9.1% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +4.9% | +7.9% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 1.32 | 1.41 | +6.6% | +2.7% | +4.8% | -2.9% | -8.8% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.5% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -1.6% |
| 2015-02-10 miss | 0.69 | 0.55 | -20.0% | +1.1% | -4.1% | +4.2% | +3.4% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | 1.48 | 1.46 | -1.4% | +0.1% | +3.9% | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| 2014-08-06 beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +7.0% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +2.1% | +1.5% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.35 | 0.55 | +57.1% | +0.4% | +3.6% | +2.6% | +7.7% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -5.7% | -0.8% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +6.8% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 1.39 | 1.45 | +4.1% | +4.2% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +0.5% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 1.40 | 1.51 | +8.2% | +1.6% | +6.3% | -1.6% | -7.6% |
| 2013-05-07 miss | 0.35 | 0.30 | -14.9% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2013-02-14 beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +5.2% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +5.7% | +9.2% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.5% | -1.3% | -3.7% | -4.8% | +3.4% |
| 2012-08-07 beat | 1.21 | 1.38 | +14.3% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +6.5% |
| 2012-05-08 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.8% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.3% | -6.5% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | 0.71 | 0.97 | +36.1% | +3.2% | +2.8% | -2.6% | -4.0% |
| 2011-11-02 miss | 1.24 | 1.14 | -8.3% | -1.3% | -3.3% | +1.6% | +3.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.