TCMD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.8% | +4.5% | 21.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 7.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +1.1% | 2.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +4.2% | +4.6% | 25.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 0.17 | 0.36 | +111.8% | -19.9% | -17.1% | -1.2% | -7.6% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | -0.04 | — | +106.9% | -4.5% | +7.2% | -2.2% | +4.7% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +3.4% | +27.4% | +17.8% | -10.4% | -18.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.21 | 0.36 | +75.6% | +35.1% | +40.6% | +13.2% | +20.9% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -3.5% | +35.4% | +26.8% | +0.2% | +7.0% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -69.7% | -33.6% | -29.0% | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.28 | 0.40 | +43.3% | -17.7% | -13.3% | -6.3% | -11.6% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +44.8% | -8.9% | -11.1% | +17.3% | +37.1% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +46.1% | +5.3% | +13.9% | -2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.05 | -255.3% | -2.6% | +1.8% | -5.6% | -15.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.