TCMD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -2.9% | 15.7% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 5.9% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 3.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.4% | 20.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 0.17 | 0.36 | +111.8% | -19.9% | -17.1% | -1.2% | -7.6% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | -0.04 | — | +106.9% | -4.5% | +7.2% | -2.2% | +4.7% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +3.4% | +27.4% | +17.8% | -10.4% | -18.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.21 | 0.36 | +75.6% | +35.1% | +40.6% | +13.2% | +20.9% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -3.5% | +35.4% | +26.8% | +0.2% | +7.0% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -69.7% | -33.6% | -29.0% | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.28 | 0.40 | +43.3% | -17.7% | -13.3% | -6.3% | -11.6% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +44.8% | -8.9% | -11.1% | +17.3% | +37.1% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +46.1% | +5.3% | +13.9% | -2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.05 | -255.3% | -2.6% | +1.8% | -5.6% | -15.7% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.22 | 0.37 | +74.3% | -14.2% | -3.2% | +12.5% | +15.8% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.02 | 0.85 | +5555.3% | -12.6% | -21.2% | +10.7% | +33.1% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +278.8% | +0.3% | -12.8% | +5.1% | +3.3% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | -0.20 | -0.03 | +84.6% | +8.1% | +13.3% | -2.8% | +13.0% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.14 | 0.29 | +114.4% | +6.1% | -7.6% | +11.5% | +23.1% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | -0.05 | 0.09 | +268.2% | +10.1% | +16.8% | +3.9% | +30.4% |
| 2022-08-01 miss | -0.07 | -0.15 | -94.0% | -3.0% | +14.1% | +2.6% | -9.9% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | -0.20 | -0.42 | -106.8% | +0.5% | -3.5% | -32.1% | -41.6% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.05 | -0.28 | -613.7% | +1.6% | +16.7% | +25.4% | +21.7% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -241.7% | -21.0% | -23.0% | -1.4% | -32.2% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +250.0% | +3.2% | -8.0% | -6.0% | +0.5% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | -0.19 | -0.12 | +35.7% | -7.9% | -9.6% | +2.9% | -4.4% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.26 | 0.55 | +111.5% | -4.9% | -5.7% | -9.1% | -3.8% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | -0.06 | 0.12 | +300.0% | +5.6% | +3.7% | +5.6% | +5.7% |
| 2020-08-03 miss | -0.23 | -0.72 | -208.6% | -3.8% | -17.9% | +7.3% | +4.0% |
| 2020-05-04 miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -169.2% | -6.2% | -0.2% | +5.7% | +5.0% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.8% | +4.6% | -2.6% | -10.8% | -26.1% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.1% | +0.7% | +4.6% | +5.6% | +25.5% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +79.5% | +7.4% | -10.6% | +3.0% | -1.5% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | -0.06 | 0.08 | +229.0% | +4.3% | +0.3% | -7.7% | -3.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.