TER chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | -1.4% | 13.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +3.0% | +1.3% | 5.9% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 2.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +6.7% | +8.2% | 16.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.05 | 2.47 | +20.3% | +14.7% | -0.4% | +21.9% | +16.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.12 | 2.56 | +20.9% | -17.3% | -19.4% | +24.9% | +22.2% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 1.38 | 1.80 | +30.1% | +3.5% | +13.4% | +7.7% | +8.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.5% | +17.8% | +20.5% | +7.8% | +4.6% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +4.9% | +16.8% | +18.9% | -2.6% | +9.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.75 | +21.7% | -2.3% | -2.5% | -1.1% | +8.1% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.5% | -16.4% | -5.7% | -0.9% | -8.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +14.2% | -5.0% | -11.0% | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.86 | +11.8% | -10.5% | -13.4% | -2.1% | +9.3% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.33 | 0.51 | +55.5% | +6.7% | +8.2% | +7.8% | +32.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.