TER chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.2% | 10.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.4% | 4.8% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.8% | 2.6% | 67% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +0.1% | 12.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.05 | 2.47 | +20.3% | +14.7% | -0.4% | +21.9% | +16.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.12 | 2.56 | +20.9% | -17.3% | -19.4% | +24.9% | +22.2% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 1.38 | 1.80 | +30.1% | +3.5% | +13.4% | +7.7% | +8.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +7.5% | +17.8% | +20.5% | +7.8% | +4.6% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +4.9% | +16.8% | +18.9% | -2.6% | +9.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.75 | +21.7% | -2.3% | -2.5% | -1.1% | +8.1% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.5% | -16.4% | -5.7% | -0.9% | -8.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +14.2% | -5.0% | -11.0% | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.86 | +11.8% | -10.5% | -13.4% | -2.1% | +9.3% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.33 | 0.51 | +55.5% | +6.7% | +8.2% | +7.8% | +32.2% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +10.0% | -8.7% | -7.6% | +1.0% | +9.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.73 | 0.80 | +9.7% | -2.9% | -3.2% | +0.9% | +8.0% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.79 | +20.1% | +3.4% | -3.5% | -2.8% | -6.2% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.44 | 0.55 | +24.0% | -3.6% | -3.2% | -0.4% | +14.8% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.75 | 0.92 | +22.6% | -3.6% | +0.2% | +7.6% | -2.6% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.04 | 1.15 | +10.5% | +0.0% | +3.3% | -3.4% | +12.6% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +5.7% | -7.1% | -0.2% | +3.6% | -1.6% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 0.89 | 0.98 | +10.6% | +2.6% | -1.3% | +7.4% | -1.3% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.29 | 1.37 | +5.8% | -22.9% | -22.4% | +0.6% | +6.0% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.44 | 1.59 | +10.5% | +3.7% | +6.9% | +14.0% | +18.9% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.75 | 1.91 | +9.0% | -3.5% | -1.1% | +4.8% | -4.0% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.05 | 1.11 | +5.9% | +5.8% | +1.0% | -6.0% | -1.4% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.10 | +9.1% | -4.9% | -7.8% | +4.7% | +11.7% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 1.12 | 1.18 | +5.6% | +0.1% | +4.7% | -7.1% | +15.6% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 1.03 | 1.33 | +29.4% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 0.87 | 1.00 | +14.7% | +8.8% | +3.0% | +7.2% | -1.7% |
| 2020-01-22 beat | 0.79 | 0.88 | +11.7% | +7.4% | +3.6% | -9.7% | -16.2% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +9.9% | +7.4% | +2.6% | +3.4% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +7.0% | +10.8% | +20.5% | -3.8% | -7.4% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 0.44 | 0.54 | +22.9% | +4.8% | +7.6% | +1.6% | -11.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.