TFX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.9% | -4.5% | 8.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.7% | 2.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | -4.5% | -4.3% | 8.1% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.28 | 1.76 | +37.4% | +3.2% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.21 | 1.39 | +14.5% | +5.2% | +6.9% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 3.75 | 1.93 | -48.5% | -3.0% | +6.4% | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 3.38 | 3.67 | +8.6% | -3.7% | -13.0% | +0.9% | +10.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 3.37 | 3.73 | +10.8% | +8.1% | +4.9% | -3.4% | +5.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.88 | 2.91 | +0.9% | -3.0% | -8.2% | +0.2% | -4.9% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 3.88 | 3.89 | +0.4% | -11.9% | -21.7% | -2.0% | -0.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 3.39 | 3.49 | +2.9% | -11.8% | -14.5% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.33 | 3.42 | +2.7% | +2.6% | +6.8% | -2.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.07 | 3.21 | +4.7% | -1.5% | -6.1% | +3.0% | +8.2% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 3.26 | 3.38 | +3.5% | -3.2% | -5.3% | -6.3% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 3.27 | 3.64 | +11.3% | +2.4% | +11.6% | -4.9% | +9.6% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 3.21 | 3.41 | +6.3% | -1.5% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -10.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 2.98 | 3.09 | +3.6% | -4.1% | -8.5% | +0.3% | -3.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 3.44 | 3.52 | +2.3% | -4.5% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +5.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 3.11 | 3.27 | +5.0% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -4.8% | +6.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 3.34 | 3.39 | +1.4% | -8.4% | -7.8% | +2.0% | -8.8% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 2.72 | 2.88 | +5.8% | -0.4% | -6.5% | -6.0% | -1.8% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 3.53 | 3.60 | +1.9% | -0.8% | +4.9% | +1.7% | +0.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 3.03 | 3.51 | +16.0% | -5.0% | -5.2% | -0.3% | -11.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.