TFX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | +0.1% | 6.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 1.9% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -0.5% | 7.1% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.28 | 1.76 | +37.4% | +3.2% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.21 | 1.39 | +14.5% | +5.2% | +6.9% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 3.75 | 1.93 | -48.5% | -3.0% | +6.4% | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 3.38 | 3.67 | +8.6% | -3.7% | -13.0% | +0.9% | +10.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 3.37 | 3.73 | +10.8% | +8.1% | +4.9% | -3.4% | +5.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.88 | 2.91 | +0.9% | -3.0% | -8.2% | +0.2% | -4.9% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 3.88 | 3.89 | +0.4% | -11.9% | -21.7% | -2.0% | -0.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 3.39 | 3.49 | +2.9% | -11.8% | -14.5% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.33 | 3.42 | +2.7% | +2.6% | +6.8% | -2.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.07 | 3.21 | +4.7% | -1.5% | -6.1% | +3.0% | +8.2% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 3.26 | 3.38 | +3.5% | -3.2% | -5.3% | -6.3% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 3.27 | 3.64 | +11.3% | +2.4% | +11.6% | -4.9% | +9.6% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 3.21 | 3.41 | +6.3% | -1.5% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -10.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 2.98 | 3.09 | +3.6% | -4.1% | -8.5% | +0.3% | -3.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 3.44 | 3.52 | +2.3% | -4.5% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +5.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 3.11 | 3.27 | +5.0% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -4.8% | +6.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 3.34 | 3.39 | +1.4% | -8.4% | -7.8% | +2.0% | -8.8% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 2.72 | 2.88 | +5.8% | -0.4% | -6.5% | -6.0% | -1.8% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 3.53 | 3.60 | +1.9% | -0.8% | +4.9% | +1.7% | +0.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 3.03 | 3.51 | +16.0% | -5.0% | -5.2% | -0.3% | -11.1% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 2.87 | 3.35 | +16.6% | +1.7% | -0.8% | -4.6% | -2.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 2.42 | 2.87 | +18.4% | -1.9% | -6.0% | -2.3% | -3.6% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 3.05 | 3.25 | +6.6% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -2.9% | +2.6% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 2.24 | 2.77 | +23.8% | +1.2% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +17.2% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.25 | 1.93 | +53.8% | -2.0% | -3.9% | -4.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 2.24 | 2.72 | +21.7% | -2.0% | -5.0% | +2.3% | +9.0% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 3.22 | 3.28 | +2.0% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -12.3% | -36.6% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 2.75 | 2.97 | +8.2% | +3.1% | +5.3% | -3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 2.59 | 2.66 | +2.6% | +1.5% | +6.4% | +1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.3% | +2.5% | +6.2% | +1.1% | -2.8% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | 2.76 | 2.77 | +0.4% | -5.4% | -3.9% | +5.3% | +9.6% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 2.42 | 2.52 | +4.3% | +3.0% | +9.5% | +0.4% | +4.6% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 2.41 | 2.47 | +2.6% | -6.6% | -8.0% | -6.8% | -0.6% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 1.94 | 2.15 | +10.7% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | 2.40 | 2.44 | +1.5% | -3.3% | -7.6% | -2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 2.00 | 2.12 | +5.9% | +5.0% | +5.4% | +0.9% | -0.7% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 1.91 | 2.04 | +7.0% | -0.5% | +6.8% | -5.9% | -2.9% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 1.69 | 1.80 | +6.8% | -4.8% | -3.2% | -4.4% | +1.1% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 2.09 | 2.13 | +2.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +5.5% | +6.0% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 1.78 | 1.80 | +1.1% | -4.8% | -11.5% | +1.8% | +7.7% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 1.74 | 1.89 | +8.8% | +2.9% | +3.3% | -0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 1.35 | 1.52 | +12.8% | -1.4% | -1.6% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 1.92 | 2.01 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +7.9% | +2.7% | +8.5% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 1.55 | 1.60 | +3.0% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 1.42 | 1.42 | -0.3% | -0.9% | -4.9% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.7% | -0.1% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +5.2% |
| 2015-02-20 beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.8% | +1.5% | +3.4% | +1.3% | -0.4% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 1.37 | 1.57 | +14.3% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +6.2% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 1.34 | 1.51 | +12.7% | +3.1% | +3.0% | -3.5% | -0.1% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 1.16 | 1.22 | +4.9% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +4.5% |
| 2014-02-21 beat | 1.27 | 1.36 | +7.4% | +3.2% | +3.6% | +0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 1.14 | 1.33 | +16.9% | +1.3% | +4.7% | +1.7% | +7.5% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 1.16 | 1.27 | +9.1% | -1.5% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -1.7% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.6% | -0.3% | -5.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 1.11 | 1.14 | +2.4% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +4.0% |
| 2012-10-31 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.4% | -2.9% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 1.10 | 1.23 | +11.7% | +0.2% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +2.4% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.97 | 1.01 | +4.1% | +3.4% | +1.6% | -2.4% | -6.7% |
| 2012-02-23 miss | 1.04 | 0.90 | -13.2% | -2.3% | -4.6% | -1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.0% | +0.2% | -2.1% | +1.1% | -0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.