TNL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +2.0% | 8.1% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 2.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 1.8% | 80% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +3.4% | 7.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 1.91 | 1.88 | -1.3% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +2.8% | -6.4% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.31 | 1.45 | +10.5% | +0.3% | -13.6% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.82 | 1.83 | +0.6% | +3.4% | +3.5% | +0.2% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.73 | 1.80 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +15.2% | -8.8% | -12.2% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 1.66 | 1.65 | -0.4% | +0.3% | +6.9% | +0.1% | -4.2% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -1.1% | +3.4% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +11.2% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.69 | 1.72 | +1.9% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -2.7% | -17.7% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.49 | 1.57 | +5.4% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +4.1% | +14.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.41 | 1.52 | +7.4% | -2.5% | -9.8% | +3.5% | -4.2% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.5% | -1.7% | +0.4% | -5.4% | -7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.