TNL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | +0.6% | 5.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 2.8% | 67% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -1.4% | 7.2% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 1.91 | 1.88 | -1.3% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +2.8% | -6.4% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.31 | 1.45 | +10.5% | +0.3% | -13.6% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.82 | 1.83 | +0.6% | +3.4% | +3.5% | +0.2% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.73 | 1.80 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +15.2% | -8.8% | -12.2% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 1.66 | 1.65 | -0.4% | +0.3% | +6.9% | +0.1% | -4.2% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -1.1% | +3.4% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +11.2% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 1.69 | 1.72 | +1.9% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -2.7% | -17.7% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.49 | 1.57 | +5.4% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +4.1% | +14.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.41 | 1.52 | +7.4% | -2.5% | -9.8% | +3.5% | -4.2% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.5% | -1.7% | +0.4% | -5.4% | -7.2% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 1.37 | 1.98 | +44.1% | +0.7% | +5.5% | +3.6% | +7.7% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.46 | 1.54 | +5.6% | -3.1% | -1.8% | +2.4% | +14.2% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.32 | 1.33 | +0.4% | -4.2% | -5.3% | +4.7% | +1.9% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +13.7% | +4.3% | -4.0% | -2.9% | -1.0% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 1.22 | 1.30 | +6.9% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +2.6% | -10.8% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.3% | -1.1% | -7.4% | -4.7% | +0.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +7.0% | -1.9% | -3.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.5% | -0.8% | +2.2% | -4.8% | -7.9% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.95 | 1.19 | +24.7% | +2.4% | -3.7% | -1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +15.8% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +6.0% | -6.2% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +21.3% | -0.7% | -5.5% | -7.5% | +0.5% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.21 | 0.39 | +90.0% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -3.0% | +0.5% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | 0.61 | 0.32 | -48.0% | -0.2% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +3.9% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.83 | +132.4% | -1.5% | -5.6% | +11.4% | +41.6% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | -1.10 | -1.11 | -0.8% | -4.1% | -6.5% | +0.1% | +14.1% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.55 | -0.98 | -279.8% | +0.6% | -7.2% | -0.6% | +67.5% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.1% | +1.4% | -3.3% | -1.2% | -39.1% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +6.7% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +4.5% | +3.0% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.36 | 1.45 | +7.0% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -18.4% | -12.7% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.90 | 1.03 | +13.8% | +1.9% | +2.1% | -1.8% | -10.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.