TREE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +3.9% | 20.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 4.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | +0.2% | 5.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | -4.0% | -12.2% | 19.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 1.41 | 1.06 | -25.2% | -21.4% | -19.6% | +0.4% | -8.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.53 | +4.2% | -9.4% | -21.7% | +0.5% | -1.5% |
| 2026-03-02 miss | 0.87 | -0.39 | -144.8% | +11.9% | +23.9% | -13.3% | -9.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.16 | 1.70 | +46.8% | +10.3% | +6.3% | -17.1% | -12.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.98 | 1.13 | +15.1% | +3.6% | +6.0% | +9.5% | +37.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.99 | +51.7% | -18.7% | -20.1% | -10.5% | -17.9% |
| 2025-03-05 beat | 0.53 | 1.16 | +120.4% | +18.8% | +22.5% | -5.7% | -6.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.6% | +4.0% | -20.8% | +5.0% | -11.7% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.6% | +1.7% | +1.8% | -14.1% | +6.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.70 | +94.7% | +15.1% | +29.2% | +1.4% | -7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.