TREE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.8% | -4.2% | 15.6% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.0% | 6.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | +0.4% | 4.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | -4.9% | -10.2% | 18.0% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 1.41 | 1.06 | -25.2% | -21.4% | -19.6% | +0.4% | -8.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.53 | +4.2% | -9.4% | -21.7% | +0.5% | -1.5% |
| 2026-03-02 miss | 0.87 | -0.39 | -144.8% | +11.9% | +23.9% | -13.3% | -9.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.16 | 1.70 | +46.8% | +10.3% | +6.3% | -17.1% | -12.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.98 | 1.13 | +15.1% | +3.6% | +6.0% | +9.5% | +37.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.99 | +51.7% | -18.7% | -20.1% | -10.5% | -17.9% |
| 2025-03-05 beat | 0.53 | 1.16 | +120.4% | +18.8% | +22.5% | -5.7% | -6.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.6% | +4.0% | -20.8% | +5.0% | -11.7% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.6% | +1.7% | +1.8% | -14.1% | +6.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.70 | +94.7% | +15.1% | +29.2% | +1.4% | -7.8% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 0.04 | 0.28 | +525.4% | +0.8% | -4.8% | +23.4% | +25.6% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.35 | 0.61 | +76.2% | +0.7% | +19.5% | +16.0% | +33.8% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.30 | 1.14 | +285.3% | -13.9% | -25.2% | +6.6% | -11.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | -0.11 | 0.25 | +337.9% | -24.0% | -25.1% | +2.2% | +6.3% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | -0.34 | 0.38 | +211.2% | -1.6% | -13.6% | +2.4% | -21.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -1.00 | -0.36 | +64.0% | -1.8% | +7.5% | +9.7% | -0.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.34 | 0.58 | +70.9% | -7.2% | -3.9% | -6.4% | -25.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.08 | 0.46 | +490.6% | +1.3% | +5.0% | -19.5% | -24.0% |
| 2022-02-25 miss | -0.09 | -0.14 | -55.6% | +10.1% | +15.7% | -15.6% | +3.0% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +10.9% | -5.1% | -3.2% | +8.3% | -18.1% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.76 | +251.2% | +7.1% | +2.0% | -8.4% | -18.1% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | -0.12 | 0.18 | +251.3% | -3.9% | -11.4% | -12.3% | -6.0% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | -0.26 | 0.13 | +149.2% | -2.7% | -15.4% | -16.5% | -26.2% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.13 | -0.26 | -106.2% | -4.0% | -15.4% | +7.0% | -12.6% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.15 | 0.46 | +207.7% | -5.0% | -6.6% | -4.0% | -5.7% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 1.06 | 1.20 | +12.8% | -6.3% | -4.6% | +3.6% | +21.4% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 1.43 | 1.12 | -21.6% | -10.2% | -14.2% | -9.3% | -31.8% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.64 | 2.25 | +36.9% | +5.9% | +14.0% | +1.3% | +0.0% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 1.40 | 1.18 | -15.7% | -17.5% | -16.2% | -6.6% | -13.9% |
| 2019-04-26 miss | 1.22 | 1.10 | -9.7% | +5.3% | +5.8% | +0.0% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.