TRI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -1.1% | 6.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 1.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +1.3% | 1.8% | 70% |
| 5-day | -3.1% | -3.5% | 8.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +3.3% | +0.8% | -9.7% | +4.1% | +13.3% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.3% | +3.4% | -0.3% | -8.6% | -10.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.8% | +3.7% | -5.6% | -2.7% | +26.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.9% | +1.1% | -5.9% | -6.4% | -8.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +4.5% | +1.8% | -9.9% | -5.7% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.06 | 1.14 | +7.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +6.3% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.98 | 1.03 | +4.4% | -0.2% | +4.5% | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.6% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +3.1% | -3.1% | -1.9% | +0.9% | +7.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.97 | 1.13 | +16.6% | +2.1% | +7.6% | +3.0% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.